By Free MLB Picks For Today 5/14/2024
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Philadelphia Phillies vs. New York Mets MLB Betting Pick Prediction 5/14/2024
Phillies at Mets—Aaron Nola to start for Philadelphia. Nola in eight starts in 2024 carries an ERA of 3.67 with WHIP of 1.20. The veteran is striking out 23.3% with 7.4% walks. Ground balls dealt at 44.6% with 1.29 home runs per nine innings. Jose Butto to start for New York. Butto has six starts in the season delivering an ERA of 3.00 with WHIP of 1.15. The righthander fans 25.2% with 12.6% walks. Ground balls served at 42% with 0.82 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
New York hitting only .208 at home. The Phillies bullpen on the road has an ERA of 3.35. The past seven games they are hitting .282 and putting up 6.6 runs per game. They are now 20-6 against right handed starters and 14-6 on the road. Play Philadelphia -127.
Game 2 Washington Nationals vs. Chicago White Sox MLB Betting Pick Prediction 5/14/2024
Game 2 Nationals at White Sox—Trevor Williams to start for Washington. Williams has seven starts on the season producing an ERA of 1.96 with WHIP of 1.06. The righthander is striking out 21.1% with 8.5% walks. Ground balls sit at 49% with no homers allowed. Chris Flexen to start for Chicago. Flexen appeared in eight starts with an ERA of 4.29 with WHIP of 1.21. Righty fans 17.1% with 8.9% walks. Grounders come in at 34.3% with 1.26 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
Chicago has won six of their past nine games. Washington is batting .218 against right-handed starters. Play Chicago +105.
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Baltimore Orioles MLB Betting Pick Prediction 5/14/2024
Blue Jays at Orioles—Chris Bassitt to start for Toronto. Bassitt has eight starts in the season dealing with an ERA of 5.06 with WHIP of 1.55. The righthander fans 21.3% with 10.6% walks. Ground balls served at 40.8% with 1.27 home runs per nine innings. Kyle Bradish to start for Baltimore. Bradish in two starts allowed two earned runs with 14 strike outs in 9 2/3rd innings. He returned after a UCL sprain that sidelined him. Last year the righty had 30 starts with an ERA of 2.83 and WHIP of 1.04. The Orioles starter struck out 25% with 6.6% walks. Ground balls sat at 49.2% with 0.75 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
Baltimore is batting .229 in their night games. The Blue Jays are batting .217 on the road. The Orioles bullpen has performed well at home. Bassitt is 17-7 to the under in night games the past two seasons. The Orioles are now 21-9 to the under at home against the division the past two seasons. Play Toronto and Baltimore under 8.
Miami Marlins vs. Detroit Tigers MLB Betting Pick Prediction 5/14/2024
Marlins at Tigers—Ryan Weathers to start for Miami. Weathers in eight starts on the campaign produces an ERA of 4.54 with WHIP of 1.32. The lefthander is fanning 13.3% with 8.6% walks. Grounders sit at 45.3% with 1.30 home runs per nine innings. Reese Olson to start for Detroit. Olson has seven starts with an ERA of 2.52 and WHIP of 1.12. The second year righthander has a K mark of 21.5% with 9.2% walks. Grounders served at 54.5% with no homers allowed.
The Pick:
The Tigers bullpen at home has an ERA of 4.34. They are hitting .229 at home. The Marlins are putting up 4.3 runs per game on the road. Play Miami +160.
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Sox MLB Betting Pick Prediction 5/14/2024
Rays at Red Sox—Aaron Civale to start for Tampa Bay. Civale in eight starts on the season carries an ERA of 5.88 with WHIP of 1.35. The righthander fans 24% with 6.7% walks. Ground balls dished at 30.6% with 1.74 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 4.43. does suggest a drop in ERA should form hold. Nick Pivetta to start for Boston. Pivetta has three starts on the campaign with an ERA of 3.60 with WHIP of 1.13. The veteran strikes out 23.3% with 3.3% walks. Ground balls sit at 43.2% with 2.40 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
The Past seven games the Red Sox are putting up 2.9 runs per game. Boston bullpen at home has an ERA of 4.74 in their 19 games. The Rays have shown improvement in hitting and run production the past seven games. The Red Sox are now 50-82 against the division at home the past three seasons with a -30.4-unit loss. Play Tampa Bay +110.
Chicago Cubs vs. Atlanta Braves MLB Betting Pick Prediction 5/14/2024
Cubs at Braves—Jameson Taillon to start for Chicago. Taillon has four starts on the year posting an ERA of 1.13 with WHIP of 0.88. The righthander fans 17% with 5.3% walks. Grounders come in at 45.8% with 0.75 home runs per nine innings. Chris Sale to start for Atlanta. Sale in seven starts has an ERA of 2.95 with WHIP of 0.98. The lefthander has an elite K rate of 30.6% with 4.7% walks. Ground ball rate of 49.5% with 0.84 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
Atlanta in their past seven games is hitting .213 going under in six of those games. Chicago on the road is hitting .228. The Braves are 17-6 to the under facing right-handed starters this season. The Cubs are 39-21 to the under facing an NL starter who has a WHIP of 1.15 or lower the past three seasons. Play Chicago and Atlanta under 8.
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Milwaukee Brewers MLB Betting Pick Prediction 5/14/2024
Pirates at Brewers—Quinn Priester to start for Pittsburgh. Priester has four starts in 2024 posting an ERA of 3.86 with WHIP of 1.43. The righthander is striking out 12.6% with 8.4% walks. Ground ball rate of 62.7% with 2.57 home runs per nine innings. His FIP is 6.84 which suggests a rise in ERA should form hold. Joe Ross to start for Milwaukee. Ross in seven starts has an ERA of 4.75 with WHIP of 1.47. The righty fans 17.9% with 8.6% walks. Ground balls dished at 41.4% with 0.75 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
The Pirates are batting .210 against right-handed starters in their 27 games against them. Milwaukee is hitting .264 against right-handed starters putting up 5.4 runs per game. The Pirates are 10-18 facing right-handed starters this season. Pittsburgh is 6-15 facing a team with a bullpen WHIP of 1.35 or lower this season. Play Milwaukee -148.
New York Yankees vs. Minnesota Twins MLB Betting Pick Prediction 5/14/2024
Yankees at Twins—Carlos Rodon to start for New York. Rodon in eight starts on the campaign carries an ERA of 3.56 with WHIP of 1.26. The lefthander is striking out 23.1% with 7.5% walks. Ground balls come in at 33.9% with 1.47 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 4.57 suggests a rise in ERA should form hold. Chris Paddack to start for Minnesota. Paddack has seven starts with an ERA of 4.34 and WHIP of 1.50. The righthander fans 22.2% with 4.8% walks. Ground balls dealt at 43.3% with 1.45 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
Minnesota is hitting .262 against left-handed starters winning seven of the ten against them. The team record behind Rodon is 5-13 when favored by -125 to -175 with a -14.2-unit loss. Minnesota is 18-6 facing a team that averages 2.75 or fewer extra base hits per game this season with a +11.1 unit return. Play Minnesota +118.
