By Free MLB Picks For Today 5/18/2024
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Chicago White Sox vs. New York Yankees MLB Betting Pick Prediction 5/18/2024
White Sox at Yankees—Brad Keller to start for Chicago. Keller appeared in four games dealing with an ERA of 2.84 with WHIP of 1.18. The righthander strikes out 16.4% with 9.1% walks. Ground balls dealt at 56.1% with 0.71 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 3.90 suggests a rise in ERA based on form. Luis Gil to start for New York. Gil in eight starts has an ERA of 2.51 with WHIP of 1.09. Righty fans 27.4% with 14.9% walks. Grounders sit at 39.4% with 0.63 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
The New York bullpen at home has an ERA of 3.00 and White Sox 3.77 on the road. Chicago is batting .207 on the road. The Yankees are hitting .247 at home and trending to the under this season. Keller is 38-19 to the under in his road games. Chicago has been 88-60 to the under as an underdog of +100 or higher the past two seasons. Play Chicago and New York under 8.
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Chicago Cubs MLB Betting Pick Prediction 5/18/2024
Pirates at Cubs—Bailey Falter to start for Pittsburgh. Falter in eight starts on the campaign produces an ERA of 4.15 with WHIP of 1.04. The righthander strikes out 15.6% with 6.4% walks. Grounders served at 30.8% with 1.66 home runs per nine innings. Shota Imanaga to start for Chicago. Imanaga has eight starts with an ERA of 0.96 with WHIP of 0.94. Righty fans 27.9% with 4.4% walks. Grounders dished at 36.1% with 0.58 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
The Cubs have won 13 of 20 at home when this series began. Chicago is 19-12 to the run line at home facing an NL team with an OBP of .315 or lower the past two seasons with a +11.8-unit return. Play Chicago on run line -1.5 runs at +118.
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Toronto Blue Jays MLB Betting Pick Prediction 5/18/2024
Rays at Blue Jays—Zach Eflin will start for Tampa Bay. Eflin in nine starts on the year posts an ERA of 3.91 with WHIP of 1.13. The righthander has seen his strikeouts drop to 18.6% with 1.8% walks. Ground ball rate of 41% with 1.36 home runs per nine innings. Kevin Gausman to start for Toronto. Gausman has eight starts with an ERA of 4.95 with WHIP of 1.51. The veteran has seen his K rate drop to 22.6% with 6.1% walks. Ground balls come in at 42.6% with 1.24 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 3.77 does suggest a drop in ERA based on form.
The Pick:
The Blue Jays are batting .222 in their divisional games. They are averaging only 3.6 runs per game at home. Their bullpen ERA at home is 5.84. The Rays have seen their run production improve the past seven games. The team record behind Gausman is 3-9 against the division the past two seasons with a -11.2-unit loss and 17-19 as a home favorite of -110 or higher the past three seasons with a -18.7-unit loss. Toronto is 16-28 facing an AL pitcher with a WHIP of 1.20 or lower the past two seasons with a -15.1-unit loss. Play Tampa Bay +116.
Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles MLB Betting Pick Prediction 5/18/2024
Mariners at Orioles—Luis Castillo will start for Seattle. Castillo has nine starts in the season posting an ERA of 3.31 with WHIP of 1.12. The veteran is striking out 29% with 5% walks. Grounders dealt at 35.2% with 1.16 home runs per nine innings. Dean Kremer to start for Baltimore. Kremer in eight starts has an ERA of 3.72 with WHIP of 1.02. The righthander has a strikeout mark of 25.3% with 8.1% walks. Ground balls come in at 41.9% with 1.76 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
The Mariners are batting .208 in Day Games with the Orioles batting .268 and putting up 5.8 runs per game winning 13 of their 19. Baltimore’s bullpen at home has an ERA of 3.09 where they have won 15 of their first 24. Play Baltimore -110.
Colorado Rockies vs. San Francisco Giants MLB Betting Pick Prediction 5/18/2024
Rockies at Giants—Ty Blach to start for Colorado. Blach appeared in five games on the year posting an ERA of 3.00 with WHIP of 1.22. The left hander strikes out 9.9% with 4.2% walks. Grounders sit at 45.9% with no homers allowed. Jordan Hicks to start for San Francisco. Hicks has nine starts with an ERA of 2.44 with WHIP of 1.15. The righthander is fanning 19.9% with 8.2% walks. Ground balls dished at 56.2% with limited home run damage.
The Pick:
The past seven games the Giants are batting .222. They have gone under at home in 14 of their first 21 games. Blach is 17-4 to the under in his Day Games. Colorado is 27-13 on the road facing a starting pitcher that allows 0.5 or fewer home runs per start the past three seasons. San Francisco is 17-3 to the under when favored by -150 to -200 the past two seasons. Play Colorado and San Francisco under 7.5.
New York Mets vs. Miami Marlins MLB Betting Pick Prediction 5/18/2024
Mets at Marlins—Luis Severino to start for New York. Severino in eight starts on the year delivers an ERA of 3.00 with WHIP of 1.20. The veteran is striking out 21.5% with 10.5% walks. Ground balls dished at 56% with 0.60 home runs per nine innings. Braxton Garrett to start for Miami. Garrett in his 2024 debut allowed five earned runs with eight strikeouts in 5 1/3rd innings at home to Philadelphia. He was sidelined with a shoulder injury. The lefthander made 31 appearances in 2023 with an ERA of 3.66 with WHIP of 1.15. He struck out 23.7% with 4.4% walks. Ground balls sit at 49.1% with 1.13 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
The Marlins bullpen at home has an ERA of 5.38 in their first 23 games which 17 were losses. The past seven games they are batting .216. On the road the Mets are batting .262 and putting up 5.5 runs per game. The Marlins as this series opened were 1-9 at home when lined between -125 and +125. Play New York -123.
