By Free MLB Picks For Today 6/16/2024
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St Louis Cardinals vs. Chicago Cubs MLB Betting Pick Prediction 6/16/2024
Cardinals at Cubs—Miles Mikolas will start for St Louis. Mikolas has fourteen starts in 2024 delivering an ERA of 4.85 with WHIP of 1.19. The righthander is striking out 18.4% with 4.7% walks. Ground balls dished at 42.1% with 1.38 home runs per nine innings. Jameson Taillon will start for Chicago. Taillon has ten starts with an ERA of 3.09 and WHIP of 1.30. The veteran fans 16.9% with 5.9% walks. Ground balls come in at 41.1% with 0.98 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
Chicago is batting .221 in their 32 Day Games and lost 18 of them. They are averaging 2.9 runs per game in their past seven. The team record behind Taillon is 5-14 when lined between +125 and -125 with a -10-unit loss the past two seasons. The Cubs are 3-10 at home when lined between -100 and -150 this season with a -9.1-unit loss. Play St Louis +114.
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Baltimore Orioles MLB Betting Pick Prediction 6/16/2024
Phillies at Orioles—Zack Wheeler is the starter for Philadelphia. Wheeler has fourteen starts on the campaign carrying an ERA of 2.16 with WHIP of 0.94. The righthander strikes out 27.7% with 7.9% walks. Ground balls served at 41.9% with 0.62 home runs per nine innings. Corbin Burnes will start for Baltimore. Burnes in fourteen starts has an ERA of 2.08 with WHIP of 1.00. The veteran fans 24% with 6.5% walks. Ground balls are 50.4% with 0.83 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 3.20 does suggest a rise in ERA based on his numbers.
The Pick:
The Phillies bullpen on the road has an ERA of 2.98 in their 33 games where they have won 20. Philadelphia is batting .254 against right-handed starters putting up 5.5 runs per game and winning 29 of 40. Baltimore is batting .225 against the National League. They are 17-5 following a loss this season with a +11.7-unit return. Play Philadelphia +120.
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Atlanta Braves MLB Betting Pick Prediction 6/16/2024
Rays at Braves—Zach Eflin is the starter for Tampa Bay. Eflin has twelve starts in 2024 delivering an ERA of 4.06 with WHIP of 1.15. The righthander strikes out 17.5% with 1.4% walks. Ground balls served at 41% with 1.18 home runs per nine innings. Hurston Waldrep will start for Atlanta. Waldrep in his MLB debut allowed seven earned runs with four walks and one strikeout in 3 2/3rd innings at Washington. A first-round pick in 2023 who put up great numbers in the minors the past two seasons.
The Pick:
Tampa Bay in their past seven games is batting .208 and putting up 2.9 runs per game losing five of those games. They are 21-31 facing right-handed starters with a -16.5-unit loss. The Braves are hitting .263 at home, winning 21 of 33. Their bullpen at home has an ERA of 3.41. Tampa Bay is 9-19 on the year when facing a team outscoring their opponents to 0.5 runs or greater this season with a -11.2-unit loss. Play Atlanta -113.
Miami Marlins vs. Washington Wizards MLB Betting Pick Prediction 6/16/2024
Marlins at Wizards—Jesus Luzardo will start for Miami. Luzardo in eleven starts in 2024 carries an ERA of 5.11 with WHIP of 1.22. The lefthander strikes out 22% with 7.5% walks. Ground balls dished at 36.6% with 1.02 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 3.81 does suggest a drop in ERA based on his numbers. Mitchell Parker starts for Washington. Parker has eleven starts with an ERA of 3.21 with WHIP of 1.09. The rookie lefthander fans 18.5% with 6% walks. Grounders sit at 44.1% with 0.88 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
Miami is 3-22 facing left-handed starters as they are putting up 2.6 runs per game against them. They are batting .184 in their past seven games. The Nationals in this period are hitting .279 and putting up 5.9 runs per game. Miami is 10-21 when lined between +125 and -125 this season with a -10.2-unit loss. Washington is 16-9 when facing a team with a -380-win percentage or less the past two seasons with a +10.1 unit return. Play Washington -114.
Cleveland Guardians vs. Toronto Blue Jays MLB Betting Pick Prediction 6/16/2024
Guardians at Blue Jays—Ben Lively is the starter for Cleveland. Lively in ten starts in 2024 delivers an ERA of 2.59 with WHIP of 1.11. The righthander is striking out 21.8% with 6.8% walks. Ground balls dealt at 34.6% with 1.13 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 3.85 does imply a rise in ERA based on his numbers. Jose Berrios starts for Toronto. Berrios started in 14 games with an ERA of 2.93 with WHIP of 1.10. The veteran fans 18.9% with 6.5% walks. Grounders dealt at 45.3% with 1.36 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 4.55 does suggest a rise in ERA based on form.
The Pick:
Toronto bullpen on the road has an ERA of 4.93 in their 33 games. In their past seven games they are batting .213. Cleveland bullpen at home has an ERA of 2.51 in their 39 games where they have won 23 of 39. They average 4.9 runs per game in Day Games where they have won 17 of 24. The team record behind Berrios is 38-49 when lined between -100 and -150 with a -24.7-unit loss. Toronto is 37-40 when lined between -125 and -175 the past two seasons with a -20.2-unit loss. The team mark behind Lively is 15-6 against losing teams with a +11.5-unit return. Play Cleveland +117.
San Diego Padres vs. New York Mets MLB Betting Pick Prediction 6/16/2024
Padres at Mets—Dylan Cease will start for San Diego. Cease in fourteen starts carries an ERA of 3.36 with WHIP of 1.00. The righthander has an elite K rate of 30.3% with 6.9% walks. Ground balls dished at 34.3% with 0.98 home runs per nine innings. Tylor Megill to start for New York. Megill has five starts with an ERA of 3.51 and WHIP of 1.29. The righty is fanning 28.8% with 9.9% walks. Grounders are 36.9% with limited home run damage.
The Pick:
The Padres are batting .275 against right-handed starters putting up 5.5 runs per game. They have a winning road record where their bullpen has performed well. New York is batting .215 at home where they have lost 23 of 40. They are 32-63 when an underdog of +100 or higher the past two seasons with a -22-unit loss. Play San Diego -125.
Cincinnati Reds vs. Milwaukee Brewers MLB Betting Pick Prediction 6/16/2024
Reds at Brewers—Frankie Montas is the starter for Cincinnati. Montas has twelve starts in 2024 delivers an ERA of 4.55 with WHIP of 1.39. The veteran strikes out 18% with 9.4% walks. Ground balls dished at 39.4% with 1.14 home runs per nine innings. Colin Rea is the starter for Milwaukee. Rea appeared in thirteen games with an ERA of 3.31 with WHIP of 1.26. The righthander strikes out 15.9% with 7.6% walks. Ground balls dealt at 40.9% with 1.15 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 4.49 does suggest a rise in ERA based on form.
The Pick:
Cincinnati is batting .199 in their past seven games. Milwaukee is batting .268 against right handers and putting up 5.2 runs per game winning 32 of 53. They are 21-11 in Day Games this season with a +11.2-unit return. The team record behind Montas is 8-26 when lined between +100 and +150 with a -16.4-unit loss and 22-11 behind Rea the past two seasons. Play Milwaukee -135.
Detroit Tigers vs. Houston Astros MLB Betting Pick Prediction 6/16/2024
Tigers at Astros—Kenta Maeda is the starter for Detroit. Maeda has eleven starts in 2024 dealing with an ERA of 5.89 with WHIP of 1.40. The veteran has a K mark of 18.3% with 8.4% walks. Ground balls sit at 31.9% with 2.03 home runs per nine innings. Eric Lauer will start for Houston. Lauer makes his MLB debut after 12 appearances in Triple A with poor results. The lefthander had nine starts with a relief appearance with the Brewers last year with an ERA of 6.56 and WHIP of 1.67. He struck out 20.4% with 11.4% walks. Ground balls were 25% with 3.09 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
Houston bullpen at home averages 4.8 runs per game. In their past seven games they are hitting .273. Detroit is batting .274 in this period where they have averaged 6.1 runs per game. Play Detroit and Houston over 8.5.
Oakland Athletics vs. Minnesota Twins MLB Betting Pick Prediction 6/16/2024
Athletics at Twins Game 1—JP Sears will start for Oakland. Sears in fourteen starts delivers an ERA of 4.02 with WHIP of 1.15. The lefthander strikes out 16.8% with 7.5% walks. Ground balls come in at 37.6% with 0.92 home runs per nine innings. Bailey Ober is the starter for Minnesota. Ober in thirteen starts has an ERA of 5.13 with WHIP of 1.19. The righty is fanning 23.6% with 6.5% walks. Ground balls dealt at 31.4% with 1.49 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
Oakland is batting .245 in their 32 Day Games where they average 4.7 runs per game and returned at +1.9-unit return. Their bullpen on the road has an ERA of 3.62 in 37 games. The Twins are batting .237 in their 33 Day Games. Play Oakland +157.
Athletics at Twins Game 2— Joey Estes will start for Oakland. Estes in six starts on the season delivers an ERA of 4.78 with WHIP of 1.13. The righthander strikes out 21.4% with 6.1% walks. Ground balls served at 18.1% with 1.13 home runs per nine innings. Chris Paddack is the starter for Minnesota. Paddack has thirteen starts with an ERA of 4.79 with WHIP of 1.37. The righthander fans 21.7% with 4.5% walks. Ground balls are 37.7% with 1.39 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
The Twins in their past seven games are batting .327 and putting up seven runs per game. Their bullpen at home has an ERA of 3.37. Oakland is batting .209 on the road. Play Minnesota on the Run Line -1.5 runs at -102 in Game 2.
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Colorado Rockies MLB Betting Pick Prediction 6/16/2024
Pirates at Rockies—Daulton Jefferies is the starter for Pittsburgh. Jefferies appeared in two games allowing nine earned runs with four strikeouts in 4 2/3rd innings. He was drafted in 2016 with poor career numbers in the Major Leagues that led to alone minor league career. The righthander has sixteen career appearances with an ERA of 6.64 with WHIP of 1.51 striking out 18 batters in 27 2/3rd innings. Dakota Hudson to start for Colorado. Hudson in thirteen starts has an ERA of 4.87 with WHIP of 1.46. The righty is fanning 11.9% with 11.6% walks. Ground balls sit at 53.5% with 0.92 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
Colorado in their past seven games is batting .280 and putting up 5.6 runs per game. The Pirates bullpen on the road has an ERA of 4.10 in their 37 games where they have lost 20. They bat .225 against right-handed starters. Play Colorado +120.
Los Angeles Angels vs. San Francisco Giants MLB Betting Pick Prediction 6/16/2024
Angels at Giants—Jose Suarez will be primary pitcher for Los Angeles. Suarez appeared in seventeen games in the year carrying an ERA of 7.08 with WHIP of 1.75. The lefthander strikes out 22.8% with 13% walks. Grounders sit at 44.6% with 1.31 home runs per nine innings. Kyle Harrison starts for San Francisco. Harrison in fourteen starts has an ERA of 3.96 with WHIP of 1.33. The lefthander fans 20.6% with 6.7% walks. Grounders are 42.1% with 1.05 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
Los Angeles is batting .270 against left-handed starters and putting up 5.2 runs against them, winning 8 of 14. They are batting .264 against the National League, winning 13 of 23. San Francisco in their past seven games is hitting .225 and have lost 11 of 17 against the American League. They are 60-54 when favored by -110 or higher the past two seasons with a -17.3-unit loss. The Angels are 10-4 on the road against losing teams this season with a +9.5-unit return. Play Los Angeles +162.
Texas Rangers vs. Seattle Mariners MLB Betting Pick Prediction 6/16/2024
Rangers at Mariners—Dane Dunning is the starter for Texas. Dunning in eleven starts in 2024 carries an ERA of 4.80 with WHIP of 1.23. The righthander deals 25.7% Ks with 11.3% walks. Ground balls served at 45.7% with 1.82 home runs per nine innings. Logan Gilbert will start for Seattle. Gilbert has fourteen starts producing an ERA of 3.19 with WHIP of 0.97. The righty is fanning 24.1% with 57% walks. Ground balls served at 42.9% with 1.10 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
Texas is batting .215 in their past seven games. Their bullpen on the road has an ERA of 6.40 where they have lost 20 of 37. Seattle is 26-12 at home where their bullpen has an ERA of 2.84. They are 16-5 against the Division this season. The team record behind Dunning is 11-24 on the road the past two seasons with a -14.6-unit loss. Play Seattle -137.
Kansas City Royals vs. Los Angeles Dodgers MLB Betting Pick Prediction 6/16/2024
Royals at Dodgers—Brady Singer starts for Kansas City. Singer has thirteen starts delivering an ERA of 3.30 with WHIP of 1.23. The righthander strikes out 23.7% with 6.9% walks. Ground balls served at 51.5% with 1.01 home runs per nine innings. Tyler Glasnow to start for Los Angeles. Glasnow in fourteen starts has an ERA of 3.24 with WHIP of 0.94. The veteran has an elite K rate of 34.5% with 7.1% walks. Grounders are 45.6% with 1.05 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
Kansas City is batting .251 against righthanders where they put up 4.9 runs per game and won 33 of 59 returning +9.2-unit return. Their bullpen on the road has an ERA of 3.69. Los Angeles is 24-22 against right-handed starters with a -13.2-unit loss. They are batting .239 in Day Game where they average 3.9 runs per game in those 21 games. The team record behind Singer is 7-0 in Day Games this season with a +7.8-unit return. The team record behind Glasnow is 1-8 when facing a team with a .540-to-.620-win percentage the past three seasons with a -9.6-unit loss. Play Kansas City +222.
Chicago White Sox vs. Arizona Diamondbacks MLB Betting Pick Prediction 6/16/2024
White Sox at Diamondbacks—Drew Thorpe to start for Chicago. Thorpe in his MLB debut allowed one earned run with four strikeouts in five innings at Seattle. The righthander was a second-round pick in 2022 out of Cal Poly who has put up great numbers in the lower minors the past two seasons. Jordan Montgomery will start for Arizona. Montgomery has ten starts dealing with an ERA of 6.58 and WHIP of 1.67. The lefthander has seen his strikeouts plummet to 13.7% with 8.2% walks. Grounders are 44.4% with 1.21 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
Arizona in their past seven games is hitting .292 and putting up 6 runs per game and going over in six of those games. They have gone over in 11 of 14 this month. The White Sox bullpen on the road has an ERA of 4.82 in their 37 games. Play Chicago and Arizona over 8.5.
New York Yankees vs. Boston Red Sox MLB Betting Pick Prediction 6/16/2024
Yankees at Red Sox—Marcus Stroman will start for New York. Stroman in fourteen starts on the year displays an ERA of 2.82 with WHIP of 1.24. The righthander strikes out 17.4% with 10.2% walks. Ground ball rate of 50.4% with 1.13 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 4.78 does suggest a rise in ERA based on form. Kutter Crawford starts for Boston. Crawford has fourteen starts with an ERA of 3.47 with WHIP of 1.18. The righty is striking out 23.4% with 7.4% walks. Ground balls sit at 35.3% with 0.90 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
New York is hitting .258 against righthanded starters winning 41 of 58. Their bullpen ERA on the road is 2.74. Boston is batting .222 in their Divisional Games where they have lost 9 of 15. The team record behind Crawford is 3-16 at home the past two seasons with a -17.2-unit loss. The Yankees are 22-10 when lined between -100 and -150 this season with a +9.3-unit return. Play New York -130.
