By Free MLB Picks For Today 6/17/2024
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San Diego Padres vs. Philadelphia Phillies MLB Betting Pick Prediction 6/17/2024
Padres at Phillies—Randy Vasquez will start for San Diego. Vasquez has eight starts on the year carrying an ERA of 4.93 with WHIP of 1.51. The lefthander strikes out 15.4% with 4.1% walks. Ground balls dealt at 41.5% with 1.88 home runs per nine innings. Cristopher Sanchez is the starter for Philadelphia. Sanchez in thirteen starts delivers an ERA of 3.07 with WHIP of 1.39. The lefthander fans 20.3% with 7.7% walks. Ground balls are 59.5% with minimal home run damage.
The Pick:
San Diego is batting .225 against left-handed starters putting up 2.5 runs per game. The Phillies are hitting .250 at home and putting up 5.4 runs per game, winning 27 of 37. They are 24-16 to the run line against right-handed starters with a +10.9 unit return and 25-15 to the run line facing a team that averages 2.75 extra base hits or fewer per game this season. Play Philadelphia on run line -1.5 runs at +125.
Cincinnati Reds vs. Pittsburgh Pirates MLB Betting Pick Prediction 6/17/2024
Cincinnati Reds vs. Pittsburgh Pirates—Carson Spiers will start for Cincinnati. Spiers has five appearances displaying an ERA of 2.33 with WHIP of 1.19. The righthander fans 18.8% with 5% walks. Ground balls dished at 33.9% with no homers allowed. Paul Skenes is the starter for Pittsburgh. Skenes in six starts puts up an ERA of 2.43 with WHIP of 0.96. The rookie righty has an elite K rate of 35.4% with 4.6% walks. Ground balls sit at 50.6% with 1.08 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
Cincinnati in their past seven games is hitting .199 going under in six of those games. The Pirates are batting .216 in their 35-night games. The Reds are 16-7 to the under facing a starter that allows 1.75 walks or fewer per start this season. They are 33-20 to the under facing an NL team with an OBP of .390 or worse the past two seasons. Play Cincinnati and Pittsburgh under 8.
St Louis Cardinals vs. Miami Marlins MLB Betting Pick Prediction 6/17/2024
Cardinals at Marlins—Sonny Gray to start for St Louis. Gray started twelve games of the season dealing with an ERA of 3.01 with WHIP of 1.03. The veteran has an elite K mark of 33% with 7.2% walks. Grounders are 45.7% with 0.79 home runs per nine innings. Braxton Garrett starts for Miami. Garrett has six starts with an ERA of 6.10 and WHIP of 1.26. The lefthander fans 20.4% with 2.9% walks. Ground balls sit at 52.5% with 1.16 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 3.88 does suggest a drop in ERA based on form.
The Pick:
St Louis is hitting .231 against left-handed starters going under in 12 of 18 against them. Their bullpen ERA on the road is 3.78. Miami is batting .184 in their past seven games. The Cardinals are 15-6 to the under facing an NL team that hits .245 or lower this season. Garrett is 16-6 to the under facing an NL team with an OBP of .315 or lower the past three seasons. Play St Louis and Miami under 7.5.
Boston Red Sox vs. Toronto Blue Jays MLB Betting Pick Prediction 6/17/2024
Red Sox at Blue Jays—Nick Pivetta will start for Boston. Pivetta in nine starts in 2024 delivers an ERA of 3.88 with WHIP of 1.08. The veteran fans 29.6% with 7% walks. Ground balls dished at 347% with 1.55 home runs per nine innings. Yusei Kikuchi is the starter for Toronto. Kikuchi has fourteen starts with an ERA of 3.26 with WHIP of 1.23. The lefthander strikes out 23.6% with 5.9% walks. Gound balls served at 44.4% with 0.81 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
Boston in their past seven games is batting .299 and putting up 4.9 runs per game The year 19-15 on the road this season. Toronto is batting .213 in this seven-game period. Their bullpen at home has an ERA of 4.93 while the Red Sox pen on the road delivers an ERA of 3.02. The team record behind Kikuchi is 19-23 when favored by -110 or higher the past three seasons with a -17-unit loss. The Red Sox are 44-26 when facing a team averaging 2.75 extra base hits per game or fewer the past two seasons with a +14.1-unit return. Play Boston +113.
Detroit Tigers vs. Atlanta Braves MLB Betting Pick Prediction 6/17/2024
Tigers at Braves—Reese Olson is the starter for Detroit. Olson has thirteen starts on the campaign puts up an ERA of 3.68 with WHIP of 1.28. The righthander strikes out 20.1% with 7.6% walks. Grounders sit at 52.3% with 0.51 home runs per nine innings. Max Fried will start for Atlanta. Fried in thirteen starts has an ERA of 3.20 with WHIP of 1.06. The lefthander strikes out 22.4% with 7.7% walks. Ground balls dished at 60.7% with 0.69 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
Detroit in their past seven games is hitting .274 and putting up 6.1 runs per game. Their bullpen on the road has an ERA of 3.44 in their 35 games. Atlanta is batting .232 against the American League. Detroit is 59-57 on the road the past two seasons with a +19.8-unit return. The Braves are 21-22 facing a team with a bullpen WHIP of 1.35 or lower this season with a -10.2-unit loss. Play Detroit +174.
New York Mets vs. Texas Rangers MLB Betting Pick Prediction 6/17/2024
Mets at Rangers—David Peterson is the starter for New York. Peterson in thirteen starts in 2024 deals with an ERA of 4.32 with WHIP of 1.50. The lefthander fans 8.1% with 6.8% walks. Ground ball rate of 57.4% with 0.54 home runs per nine innings. Jon Gray starts for Texas. Gray appeared in thirteen games with an ERA of 2.17 and WHIP of 1.20. The veteran is striking out 24.3% with 7.3% walks. Grounders are 43.7% with 0.43 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
New York is hitting .270 on the road and putting up 5.5 runs per game and posting a winning record. Texas in their past seven games is hitting .215. They have a losing record at home and batting .219 against left-handed starters and post a losing record against them. The Rangers also have a losing record against losing teams this season with a -11.6-unit loss. Play New York +114.
San Francisco Giants vs. Chicago Cubs MLB Betting Pick Prediction 6/17/2024
Giants at Cubs—Jordan Hicks will start for San Francisco. Hicks in fourteen starts in 2024 delivers an ERA of 3.01 with WHIP of 1.20. The righthander is striking out 21.4% with 8% walks. Ground balls served at 54.2% with 0.75 home runs per nine innings. Javier Assad is the starter for Chicago. Assad has fourteen starts has an ERA of 2.81 with WHIP of 1.24. The righthander strikes out 23.1% with 9.6% walks. Ground balls served at 42.1% with 0.98 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 3.94 does suggest a rise in ERA based on form.
The Pick:
The Giants in their past seven games are batting .225. They are 15-20 on the road this season with a bullpen ERA of 4.44. Chicago is 19-15 at home with a bullpen ERA of 3.28. Assad in his six home starts carries an ERA of 1.67. Play Chicago -120.
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Colorado Rockies MLB Betting Pick Prediction 6/17/2024
Dodgers at Rockies—James Paxton will start for Los Angeles. Paxton has twelve starts in 2024 delivering an ERA of 3.92 with WHIP of 1.41. The lefthander has seen his Ks drop to 13.8% with 12.6% walks. Ground balls dealt at 38.1% with 1.06 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 5.15 suggests a rise in ERA should form hold. Cal Quantrill is the starter for Colorado. Quantrill in fourteen starts with an ERA of 3.30 with WHIP of 1.25. The righthander fans 17.2% with 9.2% walks. Ground balls sit at 47.4% with 0.91 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 4.33 does suggest a rise in ERA based on his numbers.
The Pick:
It will be 93 degrees in Colorado by game time with a wind expected to blow out 15 MPH. The Rockies in their past seven games are hitting .280 and putting up 5.6 runs per game. Their bullpen at home have an ERA of 5.01. Los Angeles in their 51-night games are putting up 5.4 runs per game and hitting .263, going over in 31 of 50. The Dodgers are 65-47 to the over on the road the past two seasons. They are 54-38 to the over facing a team with a bullpen ERA of 4.20 or higher the past two seasons. Play Los Angeles and Colorado over 11.5.
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles Angels MLB Betting Pick Prediction 6/17/2024
Brewers at Angels—Carlos Rodriguez will start for Milwaukee. Rodriguez in his MLB debut allowed two earned runs with four strikeouts in 3 2/3rd innings. He was a sixth-round pick in 2021 out of Junior College that posted an ERA of 4.90 with WHIP of 1.24 in Triple A this year tossing 68 innings with 73 strikeouts. Jose Soriano will start for Los Angeles. Soriano appeared in fourteen games with an ERA of 3.48 with WHIP of 1.18. The righty is fanning 20.3% with 9.5% walks. Ground balls sit at 60.1% with 0.75 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
The Brewers are batting .268 against right-handed starters and putting up 5.2 runs per game. They are 32-21 against them. Milwaukee’s bullpen ERA on the road is 2.62. The Angels are batting .239 at home where they are 11-23. Their bullpen ERA at home is 5.83. Milwaukee is 57-33 when lined between -100 and -150 the past two seasons with a +16.2-unit return. Los Angeles is 3-15 this season when lined between +125 and -125 this year. Play Milwaukee -105.
