By Free MLB Picks For Today 6/5/2024
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Atlanta Braves vs. Boston Red Sox MLB Betting Pick Prediction 6/5/2024
Braves at Red Sox—Spencer Schwellenbach to start for Atlanta. Schwellenbach in his MLB debut allowed three earned runs with five strikeouts in five innings at home to Washington. The righthander was a second-round pick in 2021 who has put up great numbers in the minor leagues the past two seasons. Nick Pivetta to start for Boston. Pivetta in seven starts on the season has an ERA of 4.08 with WHIP of 1.05. The veteran is striking out 30% with 5% walks. Ground balls dished at 34.1% with 2.04 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
Atlanta bullpen on the road has an ERA of 3.25 in their first 26 games winning 24. The Braves are 13-6 against the American League putting up 4.7 runs per game. Boston has lost 17 of their first 30 at home. They are 5-13 at home when lined between +125 and -175 this season with a -9.1-unit loss. Play Atlanta +103.
St Louis Cardinals vs. Houston Astros MLB Betting Pick Prediction 6/5/2024
Cardinals at Astros—Miles Mikolas to start for St Louis. Mikolas in twelve starts in 2024 delivers an ERA of 5.54 with WHIP of 1.32. The veteran fans 18.2% with 5.1% walks. Ground balls dealt at 42.7% with 1.38 home runs per nine innings. Ronel Blanco will start for Houston. Blanco has twelve starts with an ERA of 2.44 and WHIP of 1.03. The righthander strikes out 24.3% with 10.6% walks. Ground balls dished at 41.1% with 1.07 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 4.06 does suggest a rise in ERA based on form.
The Pick:
St Louis is hitting .209 in their 23 Day Games losing 15. Houston is putting up 4.8 runs per game at home hitting .267. The Cardinals are 10-16 to the run line on the road facing a team with a bullpen WHIP of 1.35 or lower this season. Play Houston on run line -1.5 runs at +125.
Cincinnati Reds vs. Colorado Rockies MLB Betting Pick Prediction 6/5/2024
Reds at Rockies—Graham Ashcraft is the starter for Cincinnati. Ashcraft in eleven starts on the season carries an ERA of 4.76 with WHIP of 1.45. The right-hander is fanning 17.9% with 8% walks. Ground balls sit at 48.9% with 1.38 home runs per nine innings. Dakota Hudson will start for Colorado. Hudson has eleven starts with an ERA of 5.02 with WHIP of 1.48. The righty is striking out 12.1% with 11.3% walks. Ground balls are 54.7% with 0.78 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
The Reds are batting .218 in their 25 Days Games losing 14. Colorado is 23-14 in Home Day games the past two seasons with a +17.5-unit return. The team record behind Hudson is 31-14 at home in his career with a +16.2-unit return. Play Colorado +115.
San Francisco Giants vs. Arizona Diamondbacks MLB Betting Pick Prediction 6/5/2024
Giants at Diamondbacks—Jordan Hicks will start for San Francisco. Hicks in twelve starts on the campaign puts up an ERA of 2.70 with WHIP of 1.11. The righthander strikes out 20.2% with 7.4% walks. Ground balls are 53.3% with 0.85 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 3.81 does suggest a rise in ERA based on form. Jordan Montgomery will start for Arizona. Montgomery has eight starts in the year with an ERA of 5.48 with WHIP of 1.56. The lefthander fans 14.4% with 7.7% walks. Ground balls sit at 45.3% with 0.81 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 4.05 does suggest a drop in ERA based on his numbers.
The Pick:
Arizona is batting .233 against right handers. Montgomery has been hammered at home with an ERA of 6.33 in his five starts. The team record behind Montgomery is 6-14 in this 20 Day Games the past three seasons with a -15.3 unit return and 12-18 when favored by -110 or higher the past two seasons with a -18.1-unit loss. Play San Francisco +115.
New York Mets vs. Washington Nationals MLB Betting Pick Prediction 6/5/2024
Mets at Nationals—Luis Severino will start for New York. Severino has seven starts on the campaign posting an ERA of 3.52 with WHIP of 1.17. The veteran fans 20% with 10% walks. Ground balls dealt at 51.1% with 0.70 home runs per nine innings. Patrick Corbin to start for Washington. Corbin in twelve starts has an ERA of 5.83 with WHIP of 1.67. The lefthander sees 13.8% Ks with 8.7% walks. Grounders come in at 47.8% with 1.22 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
Washington is batting .253 and putting up 4.9 runs per game in their divisional games. The Mets against the division are hitting .257 and putting up 5.4 runs per game. New York is batting .260 against left handers and putting up 4.9 runs per game against them. The Mets are 18-7 to the over on the road and 9-0 against the division. Play New York and Washington over 9.
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Philadelphia Phillies MLB Betting Pick Prediction 6/5/2024
Brewers at Phillies—Aaron Ashby will start form Milwaukee. Ashby, in his lone start allowed four earned runs with two strikeouts in 3 2/3rd innings at Cincinnati on April 8th and then sent down to the minors. He has 41 career appearances with an ERA of 4.61 and WHIP of 1.39 striking out 167 in 142 2/3rd innings. Aaron Nola to start for Philadelphia. Nola has twelve starts carrying an ERA of 3.03 with WHIP of 1.03. The veteran fans 23.2% with 7.2% walks. Ground balls come in at 43.9% with 1.28 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
Philadelphia in their Day Games are batting .261 and putting up 4.9 runs per game. Milwaukee in their past seven games is hitting .281 and putting up 6 runs per game. Nola at home has an ERA of 4.22 and the Phillies bullpen ERA of 4.24. there. Play Milwaukee and Philadelphia over.
Kansas City Royals vs. Cleveland Guardians MLB Betting Pick Prediction 6/5/2024
Royals at Guardians—Brady Singer to start for Kansas City. Singer in eleven starts in 2024 delivers an ERA of 2.63 with WHIP of 1.12. The righthander fans 25% with 7.4% walks. Ground balls dealt at 50.9% with 0.88 home runs per nine innings. Logan Allen is the starter for Cleveland. Allen has twelve starts producing an ERA of 5.83 with WHIP of 1.55. The lefthander strikes out 43.5% with 1.84 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
KC is batting .228 on the road and has a losing record. Cleveland has won 21 of 28 at home. They are putting up 5.7 runs per game in their past seven. Their bullpen at home has an ERA of 2.10 with the Royals on the road an ERA of 4.22. Play Cleveland -122.
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates MLB Betting Pick Prediction 6/5/2024
Dodgers at Pirates—James Paxton will start for Los Angeles. Paxton in ten starts puts up an ERA of 3.29 with WHIP of 1.38. The lefthander strikes out 14.2% with 12.8% walks. Grounders are 36.8% with 1.21 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 5.36 does suggest a rise in ERA should form hold. Paul Skenes will start for Pittsburgh. Skenes has four starts with an ERA of 2.45 with WHIP of 0.91. The rookie righthander is fanning 35.7% with 6% walks. Ground balls sit at 52.1% with 0.82 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
The Pirates are batting .212 in their night games. Los Angeles has a bullpen ERA of 2.28 on the road. Pittsburgh bullpen at home has an ERA of 5.27. The Dodgers are batting .262 against right-handed starters where they have won 22 of 39. Pittsburgh is 2-8 at home when favored between -100 and -150 this season with a -8-unit loss. Pittsburgh is 11-21 when facing a team with a bullpen WHIP of 1.35 or lower this season. Play Los Angeles -100.
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Miami Marlins MLB Betting Pick Prediction 6/5/2024
Rays at Marlins—Zach Eflin will start for Tampa Bay. Eflin has ten starts on the year dealing with an ERA of 4.12 and WHIP of 1.17. The righthander strikes out 17.9% with 1.6% walks. Ground balls dealt at 39.8% with 1.22 home runs per nine innings. Braxton Garrett will start for Miami. Garrett in four starts has an ERA of 4.56 with WHIP of 1.06. The lefthander is striking out 21.2% with 3% walks. Ground balls are 57.1% with 0.76 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 3.34 does suggest a drop in ERA should form home.
The Pick:
Tampa Bay is batting .277 and putting up 5 runs per game against left-handed starters. Their bullpen on the road has an ERA of 3.63. Miami is batting .225 in their first 31-night games, losing 21. The Marlins bullpen at home has an ERA of 4.97. Play Tampa Bay -120.
Minnesota Twins vs. New York Yankees MLB Betting Pick Prediction 6/5/2024
Twins at Yankees—Chris Paddack to start for Minnesota. Paddack has eleven starts in the season producing an ERA of 4.57 with WHIP of 1.38. The righthander fans 20.3% with 4.5% walks. Ground balls sit at 38.3% with 1.62 home runs per nine innings. Carlos Rodon is the starter for New York. Rodon in twelve starts has an ERA of 3.09 with WHIP of 1.13. The lefthander strikes out 22.2% with 7.2% walks. Grounders sit at 32.5% with 1.34 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
New York is batting .263 against right-handed starters putting up 5.1 runs per game. The Twins bullpen on the road has an ERA of 4.05. Minnesota is batting .232 in their past seven games. The Yankees are 49-33 to the run line against the AL Central the past two seasons with a +18.7-unit return. Minnesota is 4-13 to the run line facing teams with a .620 or higher win percentage this season with a +13.3-unit return. Play New York on run line -1.5 runs at +115.
Baltimore Orioles vs. Toronto Blue Jays MLB Betting Pick Prediction 6/5/2024
Orioles at Blue Jays—Albert Suarez will start for Baltimore. Suarez in twelve appearances carries an ERA of 1.57 with WHIP of 0.99. The righthander strikes out 21.3% with 7.4% walks. Ground balls sit at 38.3% with limited home run damage. Jose Berrios to start for Toronto. Berrios has twelve starts and delivers an ERA of 2.78 with WHIP of 1.08. The veteran fans 19.9% with 6.2% walks. Ground balls sit at 44.8% with 1.21 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 4.24 does suggest a rise in ERA should form home.
The Pick:
Toronto is batting .222 against the Division. Their bullpen has an ERA of 4.82 at home. Baltimore in their past seven games is batting .297 and putting up 6 runs per game. They are 18-8 on the road. Play Baltimore +115.
Detroit Tigers vs. Texas Rangers MLB Betting Pick Prediction 6/5/2024
Tigers at Rangers—Kenta Maeda will start for Detroit. Maeda has nine starts in the season providing an ERA of 6.25 with WHIP of 1.41. The veteran fans 17.1% with 6.9% walks. Ground balls delivered at 32.8% with 2.23 home runs per nine innings. Jose Urena is the starter for Texas. Urena in fifteen starts produces an ERA of 3.74 with WHIP of 1.34. The righthander strikes out 15.7% with 8.1% walks. Grounders served at 49.7% with 1.18 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
The Rangers are batting .255 against right-handed starters and putting up 4.8 runs per game. Their bullpen ERA at home is 2.97. Detroit is batting .224 in their past seven games. Maeda’s form a concern here. Play Texas -125.
Chicago White Sox vs. Chicago Cubs MLB Betting Pick Prediction 6/5/2024
White Sox at Cubs—Erick Fedde is the starter for Chicago. Fedde in twelve starts delivers an ERA of 3.12 with WHIP of 1.18. The righthander fans 22.8% with 7.6% walks. Ground balls come in at 47.5% with 1.04 home runs per nine innings. Jameson Taillon will start for Chicago. Taillon in eight starts deals an ERA of 2.84 with WHIP of 1.26. The veteran has seen his Ks drop to 15.4% with 6.4% walks. Grounders dished at 45.9% with 1.02 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
Chicago is batting .223 at home. They are 44-47 at home against losing teams the past three seasons with a -15.6-unit loss. The Cubs had dropped nine of eleven when this series began. Taillon has been hit the past three games. Play White Sox +162.
San Diego Padres vs. Los Angeles Angels MLB Betting Pick Prediction 6/5/2024
Padres at Angels—Dylan Cease to start for San Diego. Cease has twelve starts in 2024 carrying an ERA of 3.42 with WHIP of 0.97. The righthander is striking out 30.9% with 7.4% walks. Ground balls dished at 33.9% with 0.76 home runs per nine innings. Jose Soriano starts for Los Angeles. Soriano in twelve starts on the year has an ERA of 3.86 with WHIP of 1.22. The righty is fanning 22% with 10.2% walks. Grounders are 57.7% with 0.77 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
San Diego is batting .271 against right-handed starters and putting up 5.4 runs per game. They are batting .291 in their road games with the bullpen also performing well. Los Angeles is hitting .174 in their past seven games with a bullpen ERA of 5.89 at home. The team record on the run line behind Cease is 7-0 on the road this year. San Diego is 16-4 to the run line on the road against right-handed starters this year with a +13.1 unit return. Play San Diego on the run line -1.5 runs at +119.
Seattle Mariners vs. Oakland Athletics MLB Betting Pick Prediction 6/5/2024
Mariners at Athletics—Logan Gilbert starts for Seattle. Gilbert has twelve starts posting an ERA of 3.29 with WHIP of 1.00. The righthander has a K mark of 23.9% with 6.7% walks. Ground balls come in at 44.1% with 1.06 home runs per nine innings. Joey Estes to start for Oakland. Estes in four starts has an ERA of 6.10 with WHIP of 1.21. The righty is striking out 23% with 6.9% walks. Grounders sit at 15% with 0.87 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
Oakland is batting .193 in tehri first 23-night games putting up 2.7 runs per game. Their bullpen has performed well at home. The Mariners in their past seven games are batting .205. They hit .223 against right-handed starters. The team is 7-0 to the under with Gilbert as a favorite of -110 or higher this season. Play Seattle and Oakland under 7.5.
