By Free MLB Picks For Today 7/12/2024
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Detroit Tigers MLB Pick Prediction 7/12/2024
Dodgers at Tigers—James Paxton will start for Los Angeles. Paxton in 16 starts in 2024 deals with an ERA of 4.24 with WHIP of 1.40. The lefty is fanning 16.2% with 11.6% walks. Ground balls dealt at 36.5% with 1.12 home runs per nine innings. Tarik Skubal will start for Detroit. Skubal has 18 starts with an ERA of 2.37 and WHIP of 0.90. The lefthander has an elite K rate of 30.5% with 4.6% walks. Ground balls dealt at 46.7% with 0.74 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
Detroit bullpen on the road has an ERA of 4.46. They bat .225 at home. LA is hitting .259 on the road and putting up 5 runs per game. The Dodgers bullpen on the road has an ERA of 2.45. The Tigers have a losing mark at home. Play Los Angeles +126.
Oakland Athletics vs. Philadelphia Phillies MLB Pick Prediction 7/12/2024
Athletics at Phillies—Hogan Harris is the starter for Oakland. Harris appeared in nine games in 2024 delivering an ERA of 3.22 with WHIP of 1.34. The lefthander fans 18.3% with 8.9% walks. Ground balls dished at 35% with 1.21 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 4.62 does suggest a rise in ERA based on form. Ranger Suarez will start for Philadelphia. Suarez has 18 starts with an ERA of 2.58 with WHIP of 1.02. The lefty is fanning 24.7% with 5.3% walks. Ground balls served at 53.4% with 0.75 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
Philadelphia in their past ten games is batting .264. In this period the Athletics are putting up 5.9 runs per game. Oakland pitching staff surrenders .264 hitting on the road and carry a -75-run differential there. Philadelphia carries a +94-run differential at home. Play Oakland and Philadelphia over 8.5.
Cleveland Guardians vs. Tampa Bay Rays MLB Pick Prediction 7/12/2024
Guardians at Rays—Carlos Carrasco is the starter for Cleveland. Carrasco in 16 starts on the season produces an ERA of 5.22 and WHIP of 1.36. The veteran fans 18.8% with 7.2% walks. Ground balls are 46.4% with 1.56 home runs per nine innings. Taj Bradley will start for Tampa Bay. Bradley has 11 starts with an ERA of 3.23 with WHIP of 1.13. The righthander has an elite 30.6% K mark with 8.7% walks. Ground balls are 38.9% with 1.47 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
In their past ten games the Rays are hitting .222. Their bullpen at home has an ERA of 4.88. The Guardians have a +46-run differential on the road. They are 34-21 facing teams that allow 4.2 runs per game or greater with a +5.1-unit return. Tampa Bay is 18-25 facing teams with a .540-win percentage or greater with a -7.77-unit loss. Play Cleveland +118.
New York Yankees vs. Baltimore Orioles MLB Pick Prediction 7/12/2024
Yankees at Orioles—Gerrit Cole to start for New York. Cole has four starts on the campaign produces an ERA of 6.75 with WHIP of 1.62. The veteran has a K mark of 24.1% with 10.1% walks. Ground balls dealt at 28% with 2.60 home runs per nine innings. Cade Povich will start for Baltimore. Povich in six starts has an ERA of 6.51 with WHIP of 1.48. The rookie lefthander fans 14.4% with 10.4% walks. Grounders are 37% with 1.95 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
In their past ten games the Yankees are hitting .220. The Orioles bullpen at home has an ERA of 3.39. Baltimore is 13-6 as an underdog with a +7.79-unit return. They are 21-10 facing teams with a .540 or greater win percentage returning +8.18-unit return. The Orioles have won five of seven against the Yankees this year. Play Baltimore +130.
Kansas City Royals vs. Boston Red Sox MLB Pick Prediction 7/12/2024
Royals at Red Sox—Cole Ragans is the starter for KC. Ragans has 19 starts in 2024 dealing an ERA of 3.28 with WHIP of 1.17. The lefthander has a strikeout rate of 29.7% with 8.2% walks. Ground balls dished at 39.9% with 0.66 home runs per nine innings. Cooper Criswell to start for Boston. Criswell appeared in 12 games with an ERA of 4.15 and WHIP of 1.21. The righthander fans 22.5% with 6% walks. Ground balls sit at 49% with 1.04 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
KC is batting .223 on the road. Boston at home is hitting .252 and putting up 4.9 runs per game. The Royals bullpen on the road has an ERA of 4.06. Boston is 24-22 as an underdog returning +5.55 units. The Royals are 20-25 on the road with a -4.23-unit loss. The team mark behind Ragans is 8-11 with a -4.55-unit loss. Boston behind Criswell is 8-3 with a +5.99-unit return. Play Boston +110.
Miami Marlins vs. Cincinnati Reds MLB Pick Prediction 7/12/2024
Marlins at Reds—Yonny Chirinos will start for Miami. Chirinos in four starts in 2024 delivers an ERA of 4.19 with WHIP of 1.60. The righthander strikes out 22.7% with 5.7% walks. Ground balls dealt at 36.1% with 0.93 home runs per nine innings. Carson Spiers to start for Cincinnati. Spiers appeared in nine games with an ERA of 3.64 with WHIP of 1.26. The righty is fanning 17.9% with 5% walks. Ground balls sit at 36.3% with 0.86 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
Miami is batting .221 on the road with the Reds at .231 at home. Cincinnati has a bullpen ERA of 3.33 at home. They have a -10-run differential at home. Cincinnati is 27-20 to the under at home with the Marlins 28-15 to the under on the road. Play Miami and Cincinnati under 9.5.
Colorado Rockies vs. New York Mets MLB Pick Prediction 7/12/2024
Rockies at Mets—Tanner Gordon is the starter for Colorado. Gordon in his MLB debut allowed five earned runs with four strikeouts in 6 1/3rd innings at home to the Royals. The righthander was a sixth-round pick in 2019 out of Indiana with struggles in the minor league. He had 9 starts in the minors this year allowing 22 earned runs with ten homers and 36 strikeouts in 40 1/3rd innings. Sean Manaea will start for New York. Manaea in 17 starts has an ERA of 3.43 with WHIP of 1.24. The lefthander fans 23.3% with 10.5% walks. Ground balls dished at 36.5% with 0.71 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
New York is hitting .265 at home and putting up 5.3 runs per game. Colorado bats .221 on the road with a bullpen ERA of 6.56. The Rockies have a -118-run differential on the road where they are 21-28 to the run line. Their past five losses have been by two runs or greater. Play New York on run line -1.5 runs at -120.
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Chicago White Sox MLB Pick Prediction 7/12/2024
Pirates at White Sox—Marco Gonzalez expected to start for Pittsburgh. Gonzalez in three starts on the campaign produces an ERA of 2.65 with WHIP of 1.18. The lefty is fanning 15.9% with 7.2% walks. Ground balls come in at 42.3% with 0.53 home runs per nine innings. Garrett Crochet to start for Chicago. Crochet has 19 starts with an ERA of 3.08 and WHIP of 0.97. The lefthander has an elite K rate of 34.8% with 5.5% walks. Ground balls come in at 45.3% with 0.85 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
Pittsburgh is batting .227 on the road. Chicago pitching holds opponents to .229 hitting at home. They are batting only .219 at home. Play Pittsburgh and Chicago under 8.5.
Washington Nationals vs. Milwaukee Brewers MLB Pick Prediction 7/12/2024
Nationals at Brewers—Jackson Rutledge to start for Washington. Rutledge appeared in one game allowing one earned run with one strikeout in one inning at the White Sox. The righthander was a first-round pick in 2019 out of junior college. He has had major struggles in the minor league. This year in 16 starts in Triple A he has an ERA of 6.66 with WHIP of 1.66 striking out 71 batters and 40 walks in 71 2/3rd innings. Freddy Peralta will start for Milwaukee. Peralta has 18 starts in 2024 producing an ERA of 3.95 with WHIP of 1.15. The veteran has an elite 30.3% strikeout rate with 8.8% walks. Ground balls served at 39.1% with 1.19 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
In their past ten games the Nationals are hitting .249. They are 12-14 against teams with a -540 or greater win percentage with a +5.77-unit return. Milwaukee in their past five games are hitting .235. Play Washington +192.
Texas Rangers vs. Houston Astros MLB Pick Prediction 7/12/2024
Rangers at Astros—Andrew Heaney is the starter for Texas. Heaney appeared in 18 games producing an ERA of 3.80 with WHIP of 1.24. The lefthander fans 23.8% with 6.2% walks. Ground balls are 35.2% with 1.20 home runs per nine innings. Hunter Brown to start for Houston. Brown has 18 appearances with an ERA of 4.48 with WHIP of 1.39. The rookie righthander is striking out 25.1% with 9% walks. Ground balls sit at 47.7% with 1.27 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
In their past ten games the Rangers are hitting .294 and putting up 6.2 runs per game. Houston is 10-9 when favored by -148 to -178 with a -2.82-unit loss. Play Texas +133.
Chicago Cubs vs. St Louis Cardinals MLB Pick Prediction 7/12/2024
Cubs at Cardinals—Kyle Hendricks will start for Chicago. Hendricks appeared in 16 games with an ERA of 7.53 with WHIP of 1.58. The veteran strikes out 16.6% with 7.1% walks. Ground balls dealt at 45.1% with 1.85 home runs per nine innings. Sonny Gray to start for St Louis. Gray has 16 starts with an ERA of 3.30 and WHIP of 1.04. The righthander has an elite 31.1% strikeout rate with 6.5% walks. Ground balls dished at 45.6% with 0.78 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
St Louis is batting .239 at home. They have a -15-run differential at home. Their pitching staff was roughed up in the Royals series at home. Chicago has won six of seven. In their past five games they are batting .259 and putting up 4.8 runs per game. St Louis is 16-15 as a home favorite with a -3.39-unit loss. Play Chicago +141.
Seattle Mariners vs. Los Angeles Angels MLB Pick Prediction 7/12/2024
Mariners at Angels—Bryan Woo is the starter for Seattle. Wood has eight starts on the year posting an ERA of 1.77 with WHIP of 0.69. The righthander strikes out 18.7% with 2% walks. Ground balls are 36.5% with limited home run damage. Tyler Anderson to start for Los Angeles. Anderson in 18 starts produces an ERA of 2.81 with WHIP of 1.18. The lefthander fans 16.8% with 10.3% walks. Ground balls come in at 36.7% with 0.96 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
Seattle has won 10 of 11 against the Angels. In their past ten games Los Angeles is batting .218. Their bullpen ERA at home is 4.41. LA pitching is allowing .250 hitting at home where they have a -39-run differential. They are 8-21 facing teams that allow 3.9 runs per game or fewer with a -10.57-unit loss. The Mariners are 6-2 behind Woo with a +2.62-unit return. Play Seattle -140.
Atlanta Braves vs. San Diego Padres MLB Pick Prediction 7/12/2024
Braves at Padres—Spencer Schellenbach will start for Atlanta. Schellenbach in 7 starts in 2024 carries an ERA of 5.02 with WHIP of 1.27. The righthander strikes out 23.5% with 5.6% walks. Ground balls dealt at 43.1% with 0.96 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 3.57 does suggest a drop in ERA based on his numbers. Randy Vasquez is the starter for San Diego. Vasquez has 12 starts with an ERA of 4.66 and WHIP of 1.60. The righty is fanning 14.8% with 5.5% walks. Ground balls dished at 40.3% with 1.71 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
San Diego is batting .268 against right-handed starters and putting up 5.1 runs per game against them. Atlanta on the road is batting .226. The Padres are 20-20 as an underdog with a +4.37 unit return and 24-16 facing teams with a .540-win percentage of greater with a +8.60-unit return. Atlanta behind Schellenbach is 2-5 with a -3.55-unit loss. Play San Diego +110.
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Arizona Diamondbacks MLB Pick Prediction 7/12/2024
Blue Jays at Diamondbacks—Yariel Rodriguez is the starter for Toronto. Rodriguez in seven starts carries an ERA of 3.68 with WHIP of 1.33. The rookie righthander strikes out 22.7% with 12.5% walks. Ground balls served at 43.9% with 0.92 home runs per nine innings. Ryne Nelson will start for Arizona. Nelson appeared in 16 games with an ERA of 5.08 with WHIP of 1.48. The righty is fanning 15.3% with 5.7% walks. Ground balls served at 42.2% with 1.13 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
Toronto bats .225 on the road. Arizona in their past ten games is hitting .269 and putting up 6.7 runs per game. The Blue Jays bullpen on the road has an ERA of 4.83. Toronto is 13-30 as an underdog with a -14.31-unit loss. Play Arizona -122.
Minnesota Twins vs. San Francisco Giants MLB Pick Prediction 7/12/2024
Twins at Giants—Joe Ryan to start for Minnesota. Ryan has 18 starts in the year producing an ERA of 3.29 and WHIP of 0.97. The righthander strikes out 27.2% with 3.7% walks. Ground balls sit at 33.8% with 1.32 home runs per nine innings. Kyle Harrison will start for San Francisco. Harrison at 15 starts an ERA of 4.24 with WHIP of 1.38. The lefthander fans 20.2% with 7.5% walks. Ground ball rate of 41.9% with 1.12 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
Minnesota in their past ten games is batting .297 and putting up 6.2 runs per game. Their bullpen has an ERA of 3.67 on the road. San Francisco pitching is allowing .251 hitting at home. Minnesota is 18-8 as a road favorite with a +4.54-unit return. They are 37-20 facing teams that allow 4.2 runs per game or greater with a +5.10-unit return. The Giants are 13-19 against teams with a .540 or greater win percentage with a -3.95-unit loss. Play Minnesota -133.
