By Free MLB Picks For Today 7/14/2024
New York Yankees vs. Baltimore Orioles MLB Pick Prediction 7/14/2024
Yankees at Orioles—Carlos Rodon will start for New York. Rodon in 19 starts in 2024 carries an ERA of 4.63 with WHIP of 1.26. The lefthander fans 23.9% with 6.8% walks. Ground balls served at 34.1% with 1.66 home runs per nine innings. Dean Kremer to start for Baltimore. Kremer has 11 starts with an ERA of 4.42 with WHIP of 1.19. The righthander strikes out 24% with 9.2% walks. Ground balls sit at 41% with 1.83 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
In their past five games both teams hit .198. New York has a bullpen ERA of 3.27 on the road. Yankees pitching is holding opponents to .235 hitting on the road. The under is 6-2-1 in their nine meetings this year. Play New York and Baltimore under 9.
Kansas City Royals vs. Boston Red Sox MLB Pick Prediction 7/14/2024
Royals at Red Sox—Brady Singer will start for KC. Singer in 18 starts on the year provides an ERA of 2.93 with WHIP of 1.17. The righthander fans 22.7% with 7.3% walks. Grounders dished at 50% with 0.98 home runs per nine innings. Brayan Bello to start for Boston. Bello has 16 starts with an ERA of 5.40 and WHIP of 1.49. The righty is striking out 22.1% with 8.6% walks. Grounders are 52.4% with 1.30 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
Kansas City in their past ten games are hitting .267 and putting up 5.3 runs per game. The Red Sox are 23-25 at home with a -6.03-unit loss. KC is 19-19 facing teams with a .540 or greater win percentage returning +2.06. They are 11-7 behind Singer with a +172-unit return. Play Kansas City +110.
Oakland Athletics vs. Philadelphia Phillies MLB Pick Prediction 7/14/2024
Athletics at Phillies—Joey Estes is the starter for Oakland. Estes has 11 starts on the season carrying an ERA of 5.53 with WHIP of 1.23. The righthander is striking out 18.3% with 5.8% walks. Ground balls dealt at 20.2% with 1.11 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 4.16 does imply a drop in ERA based on form. Michael Mercado will start for Philadelphia. Mercado appeared in three games with an ERA of 7.04 with WHIP of 1.57. The righty is fanning 17.1% with 14.3% walks. Ground balls are 41.7% with 3.52 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
Oakland is batting .215 on the road where they have a -84-run differential. Philadelphia in their past ten games is hitting .260 and has at +100 run differential at home. The Phillies have been 37-15 at home. Oakland is 29-59 as an underdog with a -15.79-unit loss. Play Philadelphia on run line -1.5 runs at -135.
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Detroit Tigers MLB Pick Prediction 7/14/2024
Dodgers at Tigers—Ryan Yarbrough will start for Los Angeles. Yarbrough has 26 appearances in the year dealing with an ERA of 3.66 with WHIP of 1.12. The lefthander has seen his Ks drop to 12.6% with 9.3% walks. Grounders dealt at 39.3% with 1.22 home runs per nine innings. Beau Brieske expected to start for Detroit. Brieske appeared in 18 games with an ERA of 3.52 with WHIP of 1.04. The righthander is fanning 25.2% with 8.9% walks. Ground balls dished at 38.5% with limited home run damage.
The Pick:
Bullpen game for both teams. LA pen has been heavily used in this series. Their pitching staff in their past three games are allowing .309 batting. In their past ten games the Dodgers are batting .234 while the Tigers are hitting .280 in this period and putting up 5.8 runs per game. Play Detroit +145.
Miami Marlins vs. Cincinnati Reds MLB Pick Prediction 7/14/2024
Marlins at Reds—Trevor Rogers will start for Miami. Rogers in 18 starts in 2024 deals with an ERA of 4.82 with WHIP of 1.59. The lefthander fans 18.3% with 10% walks. Grounders dished at 48.4% with 1.00 home runs per nine innings. Nick Lodolo to start for Cincinnati. Lodolo has 13 starts with an ERA of 3.30 with WHIP of 1.10. The lefty is striking out 25% with 6.5% walks. Ground balls served at 46.2% with 1.10 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
Miami is batting .222 against left-handed starters and putting up 2.9 runs per game against them. Cincinnati in their past ten games is hitting .257 and putting up six runs per game. The Marlins are 14-32 on the road with a -11.09-unit loss. The team mark behind Rogers is 3-15 with a -9.74-unit loss. Cincinnati behind Lodolo is 10-3 with a +4.81-unit return. Play Cincinnati on run line -1.5 runs at +117.
Colorado Rockies vs. New York Mets MLB Pick Prediction 7/14/2024
Rockies at Mets—German Marquez will start for Colorado. Marquez makes his 2024 debut after being sidelined with Tommy John surgery in May of last year. He has a career ERA of 4.41 with WHIP of 1.28 striking out 983 batters in 1016 innings. Jose Quintana to start for New York. Quintana has 18 starts with an ERA of 3.91 with WHIP of 1.26. The lefthander fans 17.3% with 8% walks. Ground balls dished at 46.3% with 1.21 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
In their past ten games the Mets are batting .252 and putting up 4.9 runs per game. The Rockies bullpen on the road has an ERA of 6.41. Their pitching staff surrenders .288 hitting on the road and have a -130-run differential there. Colorado is 13-36 as a road underdog. Play New York on run line -1.5 runs at -101.
Cleveland Guardians vs. Tampa Bay Rays MLB Pick Prediction 7/14/2024
Guardians at Rays—Ben Lively to start for Cleveland. Lively has 15 starts in 2024 providing an ERA of 3.59 with WHIP of 1.19. The righthander strikes out 21.3% with 6.9% walks. Ground balls sit at 40.5% with 1.42 home runs per nine innings. Ryan Pepiot is the starter for Tampa Bay. Pepiot in 16 starts has an ERA of 4.20 with WHIP of 1.13. The righty is fanning 27.2% with 9.4% walks. Grounders are 33.8% with 1.22 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
Tampa Bay bats .225 against right-handed starters. The Guardians bullpen on the road has an ERA of 2.93 with a +37-run differential. The Rays pen at home sits with an ERA of 4.79 and the teams sports a -36-run differential there. Cleveland is 35-22 facing teams that allow 4.2 runs per game or greater with a +4.99-run differential. They are 10-5 behind Lively with a +2.43-unit return. Tampa Bay is 20-26 facing teams with a .540-win percentage or greater with a -7.09-unit loss. Play Cleveland +111.
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Chicago White Sox MLB Pick Prediction 7/14/2024
Pirates at White Sox—Mitch Keller is the starter for Pittsburgh. Keller in 18 starts on the season puts up an ERA of 3.40 with WHIP of 1.22. The righthander strikes out 21.5% with 5.7% walks. Ground ball rate of 40.4% with 0.89 home runs per nine innings. Chad Kuhl expected to start for Chicago. Kuhl appeared in six games with an ERA of 4.15 with WHIP of 1.50. The veteran righty is fanning 20.3% with 15.2% walks. Ground balls are 42.9% with 0.52 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
Chicago is hitting .215 against right-handed starters. The Pirates hit .228 on the road. The White Sox are 30-18 to the under at home. Pittsburgh is 11-5 to the under facing teams that average 3.9 runs per game or fewer. Play Pittsburgh and Chicago under 8.5.
Washington Nationals vs. Milwaukee Brewers MLB Pick Prediction 7/14/2024
Nationals at Brewers—Jake Irvin is the starter for Washington. Irvin has 19 starts in 2024 dealing an ERA of 3.13 with WHIP of 1.04. The righthander fans 21.6% with 5.9% walks. Grounders dished at 43.4% with 0.96 home runs per nine innings. Colin Rea starts for Milwaukee. Rea appeared in 18 games with an ERA of 3.81 with WHIP of 1.22. The righty is striking out 16.5% with 7.2% walks. Ground balls dished at 42.8% with 1.27 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
In their past ten games the Nationals are hitting .271 and putting up 4.2 runs per game. The Brewers in this period are hitting .216. Irving has allowed on earned run or fewer in three of his past four starts. The Nat’s are 14-14 facing teams with a .540-win percentage or higher with a +9.18-unit return. Milwaukee is 9-9 when lined between -133 and -163 with a -2.80-unit loss. Play Washington +133.
Texas Rangers vs. Houston Astros MLB Pick Prediction 7/14/2024
Max Scherzer to start for Texas. Scherzer in four starts on the campaign deals an ERA of 3.09 with WHIP of 0.94. The veteran has seen his Ks fall to 19.1% with 3.4% walks. Ground balls sit at 29% with 1.54 home runs per nine innings. Ronel Blanco will start for Houston. Blanco has 17 starts with an ERA of 2.53 with WHIP of 0.99. The righthander strikes out 23.4% with 9.9% walks. Ground balls dealt at 39.2% with 1.31 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 4.40 does suggest a rise in ERA based on his numbers.
The Pick:
Houston’s bullpen at home has an ERA of 3.58. Their pitching staff holds opponents to .229 hitting at home. The team is 12-4 to the under behind Blanco. Both teams have trended well to the under this season. Play Texas and Houston under 8.
Chicago Cubs vs. St Louis Cardinals MLB Pick Prediction 7/14/2024
Cubs at Cardinals—Jameson Taillon will start for Chicago. Taillon in 15 starts in 2024 delivers an ERA of 2.99 with WHIP of 1.16. The veteran fans 20% with 5% walks. Ground balls come in at 36.7% with 1.13 home runs per nine innings. Miles Mikolas is the starter for St Louis. Mikolas has 19 starts with an ERA of 4.88 with WHIP of 1.21. The righthander strikes out 17% with 4.1% walks. Ground balls dished at 40.9% with 1.09 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
In their past ten games the Cubs are hitting .287 and putting up 5.5 runs per game. The Cardinals in this period are batting .286. Chicago bullpen on the road has an ERA of 4.83. Play Chicago and St Louis over 8.5.
Minnesota Twins vs. San Francisco Giants MLB Pick Prediction 7/14/2024
Twins at Giants—Chris Paddack to start for Minnesota. Paddack has 16 starts dealing with an ERA of 5.18 with WHIP of 1.40. The righthander is striking out 20.1% with 5.5% walks. Ground balls served at 38.1% with 1.51 home runs per nine innings. Blake Snell to start for San Francisco. Snell in seven starts has an ERA of 7.85 with WHIP of 1.74. The lefthander strikes out 24.8% with 12.4% walks. Ground balls dealt at 41% with 1.26 home runs per nine innings. His FIP is 4.48 does suggest a drop in ERA based on form.
The Pick:
Minnesota bats .282 against left-handed starters and puts up 5.4 runs per game against them. San Franciso is hitting .235 against right-handed starters. Their bullpen has an ERA of 4.08 at home and their pitching staff is giving up .254 hitting there. The Twins are 38-21 facing teams that allow 4.2 runs per game or greater with a +5.20-unit return. San Franciso is 14-20 against teams that win .540 percentage or greater with a -3.70-unit loss. Play Minnesota +115.
Seattle Mariners vs. Los Angeles Angels MLB Pick Prediction 7/14/2024
Mariners at Angels—Logan Gilbert to start for Seattle. Gilbert in 19 starts in 2024 provides an ERA of 2.94 with WHIP of 0.90. The righthander strikes out 24.1% with 5.2% walks. Ground balls sit at 43.7% with 1.08 home runs per nine innings. Roansy Contreras will be the primary pitcher in a bullpen game for Los Angeles. Contreras appeared in 24 games with an ERA of 4.78 with WHIP of 1.54. The righty is fanning 19.6% with 11.3% walks. Ground balls come in at 40.7% with 1.43 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
Seattle is hitting .219 against right-handed starters. Their bullpen has an ERA of 4.48 on the road. They are 22-27 on the road with a -6.43-unit loss. Play Los Angeles +150.
Atlanta Braves vs. San Diego Padres MLB Pick Prediction 7/14/2024
Braves at Padres—Chris Sale to start for Atlanta. Sale in 17 starts in 2024 puts up an ERA of 2.74 with WHIP of 0.94. The lefthander has an elite strikeout rate of 33% with 5.3% walks. Ground balls served at 48% with 0.60 home runs per nine innings. Randy Vasquez to start for San Diego. Vasquez has 12 starts with an ERA of 4.66 with WHIP of 1.60. The righthander fans 14.8% with 5.5% walks. Ground balls dished at 40.3% with 1.71 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
San Diego is hitting .236 against left-handed starters. Atlanta is batting .224 on the road. Their bullpen has an ERA of 3.12 on the road. The Braves pitching staff allows .225 hitting on the road where they are 26-17 to the under. Play Atlanta and San Diego under 7.5.
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Arizona Diamondbacks MLB Pick Prediction 7/14/2024
Blue Jays at Diamondbacks—Yusie Kikuchi to start for Toronto. Kikuchi has 19 starts in 2024 dealing an ERA of 4.00 with WHIP of 1.27. The lefthander fans 26.1% with 5.4% walks. Ground ball rate of 41.1% with 1.33 home runs per nine innings. Zac Gallen starts for Arizona. Gallen in 14 starts an ERA of 3.33 with WHIP of 1.14. The righthander strikes out 25.4% with 6.8% walks. Grounders dished at 43.4% with 0.86 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
Toronto is batting .226 on the road. In their past ten games the Diamondbacks are hitting .258 and putting up 6.4 runs per game. Blue Jays pitching allows .252 hitting on the road. Toronto is 13-32 as an underdog with a -16.31-unit loss. The Diamondbacks are 21-12 as a home favorite with a +1.42-unit return. Toronto behind Kikuchi is 5-14 with a -9.38 unit loss. Play Arizona -144.
