By Free MLB Picks For Today 7/22/2024
Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York Yankees MLB Pick Prediction 7/22/2024
Rays at Yankees—Zack Littell will start for Tampa Bay. Littell in 19 starts in 2024 dealing an ERA of 4.26 with WHIP of 1.37. The righthander fans 21.4% with 4.3% walks. Ground balls served at 33.2% with 1.24 home runs per nine innings. Carlos Rodon to start for New York. Rodon has 20 starts with an ERA of 4.63 with WHIP of 1.28. The lefthander strikes out 24.4% with 7.2% walks. Grounders are 33.6% with 1.68 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
In their past ten games the Yankees are batting .219. NY has lost ten of fifteen games. The Rays have won five of seven. Rodon in his past six starts allowed 29 earned runs with 13 walks in 27 innings. Play Tampa Bay +150.
Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Guardians MLB Pick Prediction 7/22/2024
Tigers at Guardians—Tarik Skubal will start for Detroit. Skubal has 19 starts in the year delivering an ERA of 2.41 with WHIP of 0.88. The lefthander has an elite 30.8% strikeout mark with 4.6% walks. Ground balls come in at 47.4% with 0.78 home runs per nine innings. Carlos Carrasco is the starter for Cleveland. Carrasco in 17 starts has an ERA of 5.02 with WHIP of 1.36. The righthander fans 18.5% with 7.1% walks. Ground balls sit at 47.4% with 1.47 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
Cleveland in their past ten games is batting .186 and the Tigers .263. Detroit has won 10 of 13. Their bullpen has performed well on the road. Skubal effective on the road with a WHIP of 0.93. Play Detroit -115.
St Louis Cardinals vs. Pittsburgh Pirates MLB Pick Prediction 7/22/2024
Cardinals at Pirates—Andre Pallante is the starter for St Louis. Pallante in 17 starts in 2024 provides an ERA of 4.21 with WHIP of 1.38. The righthander strikes out 18.8% with 8.7% walks. Ground balls dealt at 59.6% with 0.88 home runs per nine innings. Mitch Keller to start for Pittsburgh. Keller has 19 starts with an ERA of 3.46 with WHIP of 1.25. The righty is fanning 21.4% with 6.1% walks. Grounders are 41.1% with 0.94 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
The Pirates bullpen at home has an ERA Of 4.81. The Cardinals pen on the road has an ERA of 3.88. They have won six of eight on the road. In their past ten games St Louis is hitting .275 and putting up 5.3 runs per game. Play St Louis +119.
New York Mets vs. Miami Marlins MLB Pick Prediction 7/22/2024
Mets at Marlins—David Peterson will start for New York. Peterson has eight starts in 2024 producing an ERA of 3.09 with WHIP of 1.42. The lefthander fans 16.8% with 9.9% walks. Ground balls sit at 55.6% with 0.82 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 4.53 does suggest a rise in ERA based on form. Yonny Chirinos to start for Miami. Chirinos has five starts in 2024 delivers an ERA of 5.76 with WHIP of 1.72. The righthander strikes out 17.9% with 7.7% walks. Grounders are 34.5% with 1.80 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
Miami is batting .225 against left-handed starters. The New York offense has struggled since coming off the break. Peterson has put up good numbers on the road. Chironis numbers have been better at home. Play New York and Miami under 8.5.
Cincinnati Reds vs. Atlanta Braves MLB Pick Prediction 7/22/2024
Reds at Braves—Hunter Greene is the starter for Cincinnati. Greene at 19 starts in 2024 dealing an ERA of 3.34 with WHIP of 1.11. The righthander fans 27.6% with 9.9% walks. Ground balls come in at 34.2% with 0.82 home runs per nine innings. Reynaldo Lopez to start for Atlanta. Lopez has 17 starts with an ERA of 1.88 with WHIP of 1.17. The veteran strikes out 24.6% with 8.8% walks. Grounders dished at 38% with 0.56 home runs per nine innings. His FIP is 3.05 which suggests a rise in ERA based on his numbers.
The Pick:
Cincinnati is hitting .224 against right-handed starters. Atlanta in their past ten games is hitting .227. Their bullpen posts an ERA of 2.83 at home. Reds pitching his holding opponents to .216 hitting on the road. Greene has allowed one earned run or fewer in four of five starts. Play Cincinnati and Atlanta under 8.
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Minnesota Twins MLB Pick Prediction 7/22/2024
Phillies at Twins—Ranger Suarez is the starter for Philadelphia. Suarez has 19 starts on the year producing an ERA of 2.76 with WHIP of 1.04. The left hander strikes out 24.5% with 5.7% walks. Ground balls sit at 53.6% with 0.71 home runs per nine innings. Bailey Ober to start for Minnesota. Ober in 18 starts has an ERA of 4.14 with WHIP of 1.08. The righthander fans 26.5% with 6% walks. Ground balls dished at 32.7% with 1.44 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
Minnesota is batting .274 against left handers and putting up 5.2 runs per game against them. They are hitting .265 at home. Philadelphia has lost four of five on the road. Suarez has been hammered in his past three starts for 15 earned runs and seven walks in 15 2/3rd innings. Play Minnesota +116.
Chicago White Sox vs. Texas Rangers MLB Pick Prediction 7/22/2024
White Sox at Rangers—Erick Fedde is the starter for Chicago. Fedde in 19 starts on the campaign deals an ERA of 2.99 with WHIP of 1.13. The righthander strikes out 21.6% with 6.6% walks. Ground balls come in at 46.5% with 0.89 home runs per nine innings. Michael Lorenzen is the starter for Texas. Lorenzen has 16 starts with an ERA of 3.52 with WHIP of 1.22. The righty is fanning 17.4% with 11.8% walks. Ground balls come in at 43.6% with 1.27 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 5.18 does suggest a rising ERA based on form.
The Pick:
Chicago has a -120-run differential on the road. Their pitching staff allows .262 hitting on the road. The Rangers sport a +30-run differential at home where their pitching staff limits opponents to .206 batting. In their past ten games the White Sox are hitting .195. They have lost 10 of 11 and have been held to one run in each of their past three games. Texas bullpen at home has an ERA of 3.07 with the White Sox a 5.05 ERA on the road. Play Texas on run line -1.5 runs at +125.
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Chicago Cubs MLB Pick Prediction 7/22/2024
Brewers at Cubs—Tobias Myers is the starter for Milwaukee. Myers appeared in 14 games on the year delivers an ERA of 3.13 with WHIP of 1.13. The righthander strikes out 21.5% with 6.9% walks. Ground balls dished at 38.5% with 1.25 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 4.16 does suggest a rise in ERA should form hold. Javier Assad to start for Chicago. Assad has 17 starts with an ERA Of 3.27 with WHIP of 1.35. The righty is fanning 21.4% with 9.5% walks. Ground ball rate of 42.7% with 1.27 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 4.50 does imply a rise in ERA based on his numbers.
The Pick:
Milwaukee has a +41-run differential on the road as they hit .255 there. Their bullpen on the road has an ERA of 3.16. Chicago offense has struggled coming off the break. The Brewers offense was impressive in Minnesota where they put up eight runs in each game during the weekend. Play Milwaukee -110.
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Kansas City Royals MLB Pick Prediction 7/22/2024
Diamondbacks at Royals—Yilber Diaz is the starter for Arizona. Diaz has two starts on the season allowing two earned runs with seven strikeouts in 12 innings of work. A 2021 draft pick who had mixed results in the minors the past two seasons. He has 14 starts in the minors this year allowing 34 earned runs with 97 strikeouts in 70 innings of work. Cole Ragans to start for Kansas City. Ragans in 20 starts has an ERA of 3.16 with WHIP of 1.14. The lefthander strikes out 29.6% with 8% walks. Ground balls dealt at 40.7% with 0.62 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
Arizona is batting .272 against left-handed starters and putting up 5.6 runs per game against them. KC bullpen at home has an ERA of 4.53. Arizona has won six of eight on the road. At home Ragans has an ERA of 3.49. Play Arizona +135.
Boston Red Sox vs. Colorado Rockies MLB Pick Prediction 7/22/2024
Red Sox at Rockies—Tanner Houck is the starter for Boston. Houck in 19 starts on the campaign carries an ERA of 2.54 with WHIP of 1.03. The righthander strikes out 23.5% with 5.5% walks. Ground balls sit at 55.8% with limited home run damage. Austin Gomber to start for Colorado. Gomber has 18 starts with an ERA of 4.61 with WHIP of 1.30. The lefthander fans 16.1% with 6% walks. Ground balls sit at 40.8% with 1.63 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
Boston bullpen in their past ten games has an ERA of 5.14. Colorado has won five of seven at home. Houck has been dealing with control issues the past two games. Play Colorado +156.
Houston Astros vs. Oakland Athletics MLB Pick Prediction 7/22/2024
Astros at Athletics—Spencer Arrighetti to start for Houston. Arrighetti in 17 starts on the year carries an ERA of 5.63 with WHIP of 1.60. The rookie righthander strikes out 25.4% with 12% walks. Ground balls are 38.1% with 1.24 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 4.49 does suggest a drop in ERA based on his numbers. Hogan Harris to start for Oakland. Harris appeared in 10 games with an ERA of 3.40 and WHIP of 1.45. The lefthander is striking out 17% with 11.2% walks. Ground balls sit at 35.6% with 1.13 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 4.90 does suggest a rise in ERA based on form.
The Pick:
Houston has won seven of eight against Oakland. In his past four starts Harris has allowed 11 runs in 17 1/3rd innings walking 12 batters. Arrighetti has allowed two earned runs or fewer in three of four starts. The Astros bullpen has performed well on the road. Play Houston -140.
LA Angels vs. Seattle Mariners MLB Pick Prediction 7/22/2024
Angels at Mariners—Tyler Anderson to start for Los Angeles. Anderson in 19 starts on the campaign deals an ERA of 2.97 with WHIP of 1.17. The lefthander fans 16.8% with 9.8% walks. Ground balls come in at 36.6% with 1.07 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 4.60 does suggest a rise in ERA based on his numbers. Byrce Miller will start for Seattle. Miller has 19 starts with an ERA of 3.63 with WHIP of 1.06. The righthander is striking out 22.7% with 6.7% walks. Ground balls come in at 38.3% with 1.24 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
Seattle is batting .214 against left-handed starters. Their pitching staff holds opponents to .203 hitting at home. The Angels are batting .229 on the road. The Mariners bullpen at home has an ERA of 2.68. Play Los Angeles and Seattle under 7.5.
San Francisco Giants vs. Los Angeles Dodgers MLB Pick Prediction 7/22/2024
Giants at Dodgers—Blake Snell to start for San Francisco. Snell in eight starts on the year produces an ERA of 6.31 with WHIP of 1.43. The lefthander fans 26.6% with 10.8% walks. Ground balls come in at 41.7% with 1.01 home runs per nine innings. River Ryan expected starter for Los Angeles. Ryan will make his MLB debut. The righthander was an 11 round pick out of North Carolina Pembroke who showed success in his minor league career. He had eight starts in the minors this year allowing six earned runs with 32 strikeouts in 24 1/3rd innings. He missed two months after spring training with shoulder fatigue.
The Pick:
San Francisco is batting .233 on the road. Their pitching staff surrenders .268 batting on the road with a bullpen ERA of 5.15. The Dodgers pitching holds opposing batters to .220 hitting at home. LA bats got hot after the break. Play Los Angeles -142.
