By Free MLB Picks For Today 7/23/2024
Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Guardians MLB Pick Prediction 7/23/2024
Tigers at Guardians—Joey Wentz to start for Detroit. Wentz appeared in 28 games with an ERA of 5.22 with WHIP of 1.69. The lefthander fans 23.4% with 11.7% walks. Ground balls come in at 45.8% with 1.13 home runs per nine innings. Xzavion Curry is expected to start for Cleveland. Curry appeared in five games with an ERA of 5.19 and WHIP of 1.27. The righty is fanning 16.2% with 4.1% walks. Ground balls dealt at 25.4% with 2.08 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
Cleveland has lost six of eight as this series began. In their past ten games the Guardians are hitting .186 and putting up 2.6 runs per game. The Tigers in this period are hitting .263 and putting up six runs per game. Detroit is 20-18 when lined between -107 and +123 with a +4.24-unit return. Play Detroit +108.
St Louis Cardinals vs. Pittsburgh Pirates MLB Pick Prediction 7/23/2024
Cardinals at Pirates—Lance Lynn to start for St Louis. Lynn in 19 starts in 2024 delivers an ERA of 4.39 with WHIP of 1.39. The veteran strikes out 21.6% with 8.7% walks. Ground balls dealt at 39.8% with 1.31 home runs per nine innings. Paul Skenes will start for Pittsburgh. Skenes has 11 starts with an ERA of 1.90 and WHIP of 0.92. The rookie righthander has an elite 34.9% strikeout mark with 5.1% walks. Grounders are 49% with 0.95 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
Pittsburgh is batting .230 at home. The Cardinals bullpen on the road has an ERA of 3.26. They are 26-22 to the under on the road and 15-10 to the under facing teams that average 3.9 runs to 4.2 runs per game. Play St Louis and Pittsburgh under 8.
Baltimore Orioles vs. Miami Marlins MLB Pick Prediction 7/23/2024
Orioles at Marlins—Albert Suarez will start for Baltimore. Suarez has 19 appearances on the campaign delivering an ERA of 2.82 with WHIP of 1.24. The righthander fans 18.5% with 8.4% walks. Ground balls are 33.3% with 0.51 home runs per nine innings. Kyle Tyler is expected to start for Miami. Tyler has four appearances with an ERA of 3.38 and WHIP of 1.19. The righty is striking out 15.6% with 12.5% walks. Grounders are 57.8% with 0.56 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 4.40 does imply a rise in ERA based on his numbers.
The Pick:
The Orioles have a +63-run differential on the road and the Marlins have a -82 run differential at home. Orioles pitching holds opponents to .211 hitting. They have won six of nine on the road. Play Baltimore run line -1.5 runs at +104.
San Diego Padres vs. Washington Nationals MLB Pick Prediction 7/23/2024
Padres at Nationals—Randy Vasquez to start for San Diego. Vasquez has 13 starts in 2024 delivering an ERA of 4.57 with WHIP of 1.56. The righthander fans 15.6% with 5.5% walks. Ground ball rate of 40.7% with 1.57 home runs per nine innings. DJ Herz will start for Washington. Herz in 7 starts has an ERA of 5.17 and WHIP of 1.40. The lefthander posts a 29.1% K mark with 6.4% walks. Grounders are 34.1% with 1.72 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 3.98 does suggest a drop in ERA based on form.
The Pick:
Vazquez on the road has an ERA of 6.15 with WHIP of 1.82. In their past ten games the Padres are batting .228. Herz has been better at home with a WHIP of 1.19. The Nationals have won five of six. Play Washington.
New York Mets vs. New York Yankees MLB Pick Prediction 7/23/2024
Mets at Yankees—Jose Quintana will start for NYM. Quintana in 19 starts in 2024 carries an ERA of 4.13 with WHIP of 1.26. The lefthander strikes out 18.1% with 7.8% walks. Ground balls dealt at 46.8% with 1.50 home runs per nine innings. Luis Gil to start for New York. Gil has 19 starts with an ERA of 3.17 with WHIP of 1.08. The righthander fans 28.2% with 11.7% walks. Ground balls sit at 38.4% with 0.79 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
NYY is batting .230 against left-handed batters. In their past ten games the Mets are hitting .262. They bat .265 on the road. The Yankees are 44-34 as a favorite with a -5.22-unit loss. NYM is 13-13 as a road underdog with a +3.64-unit return. Play NY Mets +137.
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Toronto Blue Jays MLB Pick Prediction 7/23/2024
Rays at Blue Jays—Tyler Alexander will start for Tampa Bay. Alexander appeared in 11 games producing an ERA of 6.19 with WHIP of 1.34. The lefthander fans 19.4% with 5.3% walks. Ground balls come in at 29.6% with 2.06 home runs per nine innings. Jose Berrios is the starter for Toronto. Berrios in 20 starts in 2024 putting up an ERA of 4.01 with WHIP of 1.18. The veteran strikes out 17.8% with 6.7% walks. Grounders are 43.2% with 1.59 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
The Rays have won six of nine against the Blue Jays. Toronto is batting .229 at home where they have a 5.17 bullpen ERA. The team has a -51-run differential at home. They have lost 10 of 13 at home. Toronto has lost 9.55 units at home. Tampa Bay is 15-15 as a road underdog with a +2.27-unit return. Play Tampa Bay +130.
Cincinnati Reds vs. Atlanta Braves MLB Pick Prediction 7/23/2024
Reds at Braves—Nick Martinez is the starter for Cincinnati. Martinez appeared in 28 games producing an ERA of 3.88 with WHIP of 1.13. The righthander fans 18.9% with 3% walks. Ground balls dished at 37% with 0.75 home runs per nine innings. Chris Sale to start for Atlanta. Sale has 18 starts with an ERA of 2.70 with WHIP of 0.95. The lefthander has an elite 32.4% strikeout rate with 5.6% walks. Grounders are 48.1% with 0.57 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
Cincinnati pitching holds opponents to .216 hitting on the road. The Braves bullpen at home has an ERA of 2.83. The Reds bat .231 on the road. Atlanta is 32-16 to the under at home. Play Cincinnati and Atlanta under 7.5.
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Minnesota Twins MLB Pick Prediction 7/23/2024
Phillies at Twins—Zack Wheeler to start for Philadelphia. Wheeler in 19 starts on the season produces an ERA of 2.70 with WHIP of 0.99. The veteran fans 27% with 7.5% walks. Ground balls dished at 42.6% with 0.85 home runs per nine innings. Simeon Woods Richardson is the starter for Minnesota. Woods Richardson has 16 starts with an ERA of 3.51 with WHIP of 1.15. The righthander strikes out 20.9% with 7.1% walks. Grounders sit at 38.5% with 0.88 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
Minnesota is batting .265 at home with their pitching staff holding opponents to .238 hitting at home. They are 4-3 as a home underdog with a +1.60-unit return. The team mark behind Simeon Woods Richardson is 12-4 with a +6.42-unit return. Philadelphia is 19-14 as a road favorite with a -1.57 unit loss. Play Minnesota +139.
Chicago White Sox vs. Texas Rangers MLB Pick Prediction 7/23/2024
White Sox at Rangers—Garrett Crochet is the starter for Chicago. Crochet has 20 starts with an ERA of 3.02 with WHIP of 0.95. The lefthander has an elite 35.2% K mark with 5.4% walks. Ground balls dealt at 45.7% with 0.84 home runs per nine innings. Jon Gray is the starter for Texas. Gray has 19 appearances with an ERA of 3.96 with WHIP of 1.32. The veteran strikes out 19.8% with 6.3% walks. Ground balls sit at 39.4% with 0.83 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
Chicago is batting .225 on the road. Their bullpen on the road has an ERA of 5.05. Texas pen at home has an ERA of 43.07. The White Sox have lost 11 of 12. They are 10-40 as a road underdog with a -24.68-unit loss. The team record behind Crochet is 7-13 with a -5.17-unit loss. Play Texas -122.
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Chicago Cubs MLB Pick Prediction 7/23/2024
Brewers at Cubs—Colin Rae will start for Milwaukee. Rae appeared in 19 games in 2024 dealing an ERA of 3.77 with WHIP of 1.21. The righthander fans 17.2% with 7% walks. Ground balls served at 42.6% with 1.20 home runs per nine innings. Jameson Taillon is the starter for Chicago. Taillon has 16 starts with an ERA of 3.10 with WHIP of 1.16. The veteran strikes out 19.6% with 4.7% walks. Grounders are 36.6% with 1.16 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
Chicago is batting .227 at home. Milwaukee does have a +41-run differential on the road. Chicago is 17-17 as a home favorite with a -6.72-unit loss. The Brewers are 18-16 as a road underdog with a +5.26-unit return. The tea mark behind Rea is 11-5 with a +5.26-unit return. Play Milwaukee +105.
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Kansas City Royals MLB Pick Prediction 7/23/2024
Diamondbacks at Royals—Jordan Montgomery returns to start for Arizona. Montgomery in 13 starts on the campaign deals an ERA of 6.44 with WHIP of 1.68. The lefthander has seen his strikeouts drop to 15.1% with 7.7% walks. Ground balls are 43.6% with 1.10 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 4.41 does suggest a drop in ERA based on form. Alec Marsh to start for KC. Marsh has 18 appearances with an ERA of 4.52 with WHIP of 1.23. The righthander fans 22% with 7.6% walks. Grounders are 36.5% with 1.28 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
KC is batting .271 at home where they have a +72-run differential. Arizona pitching is allowing .253 hitting on the road. In their past ten games the Diamondbacks are batting .222. The Royals have won eight of ten and 11 of 15 at home. Play Kansas City +102.
Boston Red Sox vs. Colorado Rockies MLB Pick Prediction 7/23/2024
Red Sox at Rockies—Cooper Criswell will start for Boston. Criswell appeared in 13 games delivering an ERA of 4.50 with WHIP of 1.28. The righthander fans 20.2% with 6.1% walks. Ground balls sit at 49.2% with 1.09 home runs per nine innings. Ty Blach to start for Colorado. Blach appeared in 16 games with an ERA of 5.46 with WHIP of 1.58. The lefthander strikes out 11.9% with 4.9% walks. Ground balls are 40.7% with 1.52 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
The Red Sox bullpen has been hammered on this trip following the break with the team losing all four games. The Rockies bullpen has performed well in this time frame. Criswell has an ERA of over five on the road. Colorado has won six of eight at home. They are 12-13 facing teams with a .540 or higher win percentage with a +5.56-unit return. Play Colorado.
Houston Astros vs. Oakland Athletics MLB Pick Prediction 7/23/2024
Astros at Athletics—Jake Bloss to start for Houston. Bloss has two starts on the year allowing four earned runs with six strikeouts in 7 2/3rd innings. A third round pick in 2023 that has put up god numbers in the lower minors the past two seasons. Osvaldo Bido is the starter for Oakland. Bido in seven appearances delivers an ERA of 3.44 with WHIP of 1.25. The righthander fans 20.3% with 13.9% walks. Ground balls served at 25% with no homers allowed.
The Pick:
In their past ten games the Athletics are batting .278 and putting up 7.4 runs per game. The Astros in this period are hitting .226. The Astros are 13-15 as a road favorite with a -6.70-unit loss. Play Oakland +117.
LA Angels vs. Seattle Mariners MLB Pick Prediction 7/23/2024
Angels at Mariners—Jose Soriano is the starter for LA. Soriano appeared in 17 games carrying an ERA of 3.71 with WHIP of 1.20. The righthander strikes out 20% with 9.4% walks. Ground balls sit at 60.2% with 0.82 home runs per nine innings. Logan Gilbert is the starter for Seattle. Gilbert has 20 starts with an ERA of 2.79 with WHIP of 0.87. The righty is fanning 24.8% with 5% walks. Grounders are 43.9% with 1.02 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
Seattle is batting .205 at home while their pitching staff holds opponents to .202 there. LA is batting .230 on the road. The Mariners are 33-17 to the under at home and 25-12 to the under facing teams with a .460- or lower-win percentage. Seattle is 14-6 to the under behind Gilbert. Play LA and Seattle under 7.
San Francisco Giants vs. Los Angeles Dodgers MLB Pick Prediction 7/23/2024
Giants at Dodgers—Jordan Hicks to start for San Francisco. Hicks in 19 starts in 2024 delivers an ERA of 3.79 with WHIP of 1.36. The righthander strikes out 20.3% with 8.8% walks. Grounders are 50.5% with 1.04 home runs per nine innings. Landon Knack will start for LAD. Knack appeared in eight games with an ERA of 3.23 with WHIP of 1.05. The rookie righty is fanning 22.6% with 6.3% walks. Ground balls are 32.4% with 1.85 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 4.89 does suggest a rise in ERA based on form.
The Pick:
San Francisco pitching is allowing .267 hitting on the road with a bullpen ERA of 4.68. Dodgers pitching limits opponents to .219 batting. The Giants are 20-31 on the road with a -10.05-unit loss. LA is 11-5 when lined between -124 and -154 with a +2.87-unit return. Play Los Angeles -137.
