By Free MLB Picks For Today 7/3/2024
More MLB Picks Predictions Previews
Chicago White Sox vs. Cleveland Guardians MLB Betting Pick Prediction 7/3/2024
White Sox at Guardians—Erick Fedde will start for Chicago. Fedde has 17 starts to the season dealing with an ERA of 3.23 and WHIP of 1.14. The righthander strikes out 22% with 6.1% walks. Ground balls served at 47.8% with 0.99 home runs per nine innings. Gavin Williams expected to start for Cleveland. Williams makes his 2024 debut after being sidelined with an elbow injury. The righty in his rookie campaign in 2023 had 16 starts with an ERA of 3.29 and WHIP of 1.26. He struck out 23.5% with 10.7% walks. Ground balls sat at 38.1% with 0.88 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
Cleveland bullpen at home has an ERA of 2.06 with the White Sox an ERA from their bullpen on the road is 4.80. Chicago is batting .215 against right handed starters. Run differential for the White Sox is -162 to the Guardians +98 on the year. Chicago is 17-24 to the run line on the road this season. Play Cleveland on run line -1.5 runs at +120.
St Louis Cardinals vs. Pittsburgh Pirates MLB Betting Pick Prediction 7/3/2024
Cardinals at Pirates—Miles Mikolas will start for St Louis. Mikolas has seventeen starts in 2024 providing an ERA of 5.32 with WHIP of 1.25. The righthander fans 17.3% with 4.6% walks. Ground balls dealt at 40.7% with 1.24 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 4.17 does suggest a drop in ERA based on form. Jared Jones will start for Pittsburgh. Jones in 15 starts has an ERA of 3.66 with WHIP of 1.10. The rookie righty has a strikeout mark of 26.5% with 7.1% walks. Grounders are 40.6% with 1.26 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
The Pirates bullpen on the road has an ERA of 5.29. They are 9-12 as a road favorite with a -5.79-unit loss. St Louis is 16-10 with a +6.84 unit return when lined between -109 to -121 this season. The Cardinals had won 8 of 11 when this series started. In their past ten games the Pirates are batting .198. Play St Louis +110.
Boston Red Sox vs. Miami Marlins MLB Betting Pick Prediction 7/3/2024
Red Sox at Marlins—Brayan Bello will start for Boston. Bello in 14 starts on the campaign posts an ERA of 5.55 with WHIP of 1.47. The righthander has a K mark of 20.1% with 9.1% walks. Ground balls come in at 54.1% with 1.39 home runs per nine innings. Trevor Rogers to start for Miami. Rogers has 16 starts with an ERA of 4.87 and WHIP of 1.56. The lefthander strikes out 17.4% with 9.8% walks. Ground balls sit at 48.9% with 1.11 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
The Red Sox bullpen on the road has an ERA of 2.89. They are 10-3 as a road favorite this season with a +402-unit return. The team record behind Rogers this season is 3-13 with a -7.74-unit loss. The Marlins have a -126-run differential this year. Play Boston -139.
New York Mets vs. Washington Nationals MLB Betting Pick Prediction 7/3/2024
Mets at Nationals—Christian Scott will start for New York. Scott has five starts on the year putting up an ERA of 3.90 with WHIP of 1.08. The righthander strikes out 22.3% with 5.4% walks. Grounders are served at 34.2% with 0.98 home runs per nine innings. Mitchell Parker is the starter for Washington. Parker in 14 starts has an ERA of 3.32 and WHIP of 1.12. The lefthander is striking out 19.6% with 5.6% walks. Ground balls dished at 42.4% with 0.92 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
After the opener of this series the Mets had won eight of ten against the Nationals. Washington has lost six of seven after dropping the series opener. New York in their past seven games is hitting .267 and putting up 6.8 runs per game. They are hitting .262 against left handers and putting up 5.5 runs per game. Play New York -126.
Cincinnati Reds vs. New York Yankees MLB Betting Pick Prediction 7/3/2024
Reds at Yankees—Andrew Abbott is the starter for Cincinnati. Abbott has 16 starts in 2024 dealing an ERA of 3.41 with WHIP of 1.20. The lefthander fans 19.3% with 8.6% walks. Ground balls dealt at 33.5% with 1.61 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 4.97 does suggest a rise in ERA based on his numbers. Carlos Rodon to start for New York. Rodon in 17 starts produces an ERA of 4.42 with WHIP of 1.26. The veteran lefty is striking out 22.9% with 6.5% walks. Ground balls are 34.7% with 1.54 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
New York is batting .234 against left-handed starters. In their past ten games the Yankees are batting .237. They have lost eight of eleven as this series opened. The team record behind Abbott this year is 9-7 with a +2.07-unit return. Play Cincinnati +166.
Houston Astros vs. Toronto Blue Jays MLB Betting Pick Prediction 7/3/2024
Astros at Blue Jays—Ronel Blanco will start for Houston Blanco has 15 starts on the season dealing an ERA of 2.49 with WHIP of 1.01. The righthander strikes out 23.4% with 10.3% walks. Grounders served at 39.1% with 1.30 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 4.43 does suggest a rise in ERA based on his numbers. Yusei Kikuchi is the starter for Toronto. Kikuchi has 17 starts with an ERA of 4.18 with WHIP of 1.31. The lefthander fans 24.8% with 5.6% walks. Ground balls are 42.6% with 1.22 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
Toronto bullpen at home has an ERA of 5.26. The Astros are batting .263 against left-handed starters. In their past ten games they are batting .293 and putting up 7 runs per game. The team record behind Kikuchi is 5-12 with a -7.38-unit loss. The Astros behind Blanco are 11-4 with a +4.96-unit return. The run differential for Toronto this season is -53 with the Astros at +35. Play Houston -105.
San Francisco Giants vs. Atlanta Braves MLB Betting Pick Prediction 7/3/2024
Giants at Braves—Jordan Hicks is the starter for San Francisco. Hicks has 17 starts on the campaign carrying an ERA of 3.36 with WHIP of 1.28. The righthander strikes out 20.9% with 9.1% walks. Ground balls come in at 51.6% with 0.95 home runs per nine innings. Chris Sale will start for Atlanta. Sale in 15 starts has an ERA of 2.79 with WHIP of 0.92. The lefthander posts an elite K rate of 32.3% with 4.7% walks. Grounders are 48.6% with 0.67 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
The Braves bullpen at home has an ERA of 2.95. In their past ten games they are batting .185. Atlanta is 27-10 to the under facing teams that average 4.2 runs per game or fewer. The Braves are 46-27 to the under at home. Play San Francisco and Atlanta under 8.
San Diego Padres vs. Texas Rangers MLB Betting Pick Prediction 7/3/2024
Padres at Rangers—Adam Mazur is the starter for San Diego. Mazur in five starts in 2024 delivers an ERA of 7.25 with WHIP of 1.84. The rookie righthander is striking out only 10.7% with 16.5% walks. Ground balls are 36% with 1.21 home runs per nine innings. Jon Gray will start for Texas. Gray has 16 starts with an ERA of 3.77 with WHIP of 1.28. The veteran fans 21.4% with 6.2% walks. Grounders are 40.3% with 0.83 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
San Diego is batting .274 against right-handed starters putting up 5.4 runs per game. Over their past ten games they are hitting .294 and putting up 7.2 runs per game. The Padres are 4-2 this season when lined at +107 to +132 this season with a +2.95-unit return. They have won 9 of 12. Play San Diego +132.
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Chicago Cubs MLB Betting Pick Prediction 7/3/2024
Phillies at Cubs—Zack Wheeler to start for Philadelphia. Wheeler has 17 starts in the season providing an ERA of 2.73 with WHIP of 0.98. The veteran fans 26.7% with 7.4% walks. Ground balls served at 41.9% with 0.85 home runs per nine innings. Shota Imanaga to start for Chicago. Imanaga in 15 starts has an ERA of 3.07 with WHIP of 1.11. The righthander strikes out 24.1% with 4% walks. Ground balls sit at 34.1% with 1.06 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
Philadelphia has won six straight against Chicago. Their bullpen on the road has an ERA of 2.70. The Phillies are batting .260 against lefthanders. The Cubs are batting .224 against right-handed starters. Philadelphia is 48-23 as a favorite this year with a +4.37-unit return. Chicago when lined between -105 and +125 is 12-20 with a -6.52-unit loss. Play Philadelphia -124.
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Kansas City Royals MLB Betting Pick Prediction 7/3/2024
Rays at Royals—Ryan Pepiot will start for Tampa Bay. Pepiot in 14 starts in 2024 delivers an ERA of 4.40 with WHIP of 1.09. The righthander fans 28.7% with 8.7% walks. Ground balls come in at 34.3% with 1.38 home runs per nine innings. Michael Wacha to start for KC. Wacha has 14 starts with an ERA of 3.91 with WHIP of 1.25. The veteran strikes out 20.5% with 7% walks. Ground balls sit at 38.8% with 0.80 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
Tampa Bay is batting .227 against right-handed starters. At home KC is hitting .271 and putting up 5.9 runs per game. As this series began the Royals were 30-16 at home returning +9.13 units. They are 19-11 when lined between -125 and +105 with a +6.51-unit return. Tampa Bay is 15-23 facing teams with a .540 or greater win percentage with a -8.63-unit loss. Play Kansas City -105.
Detroit Tigers vs. Minnesota Twins MLB Betting Pick Prediction 7/3/2024
Tigers at Twins—Jack Flaherty will start for Detroit. Flaherty in 15 starts on the campaign deals an ERA of 3.24 with WHIP of 1.00. The righthander has an elite K rate of 33% with 4% walks. Ground balls served at 44.2% with 1.31 home runs per nine innings. David Festa will start for Minnesota. Festa in his MLB debut allowed 5 earned runs with two strikeouts in five innings at Arizona. The righthander was a 13th round pick who put up good numbers in Triple A this year with an ERA of 3.82 and WHIP of 1.31 striking out 81 batters in 63 2/3rd innings.
The Pick:
In their past ten games the Tigers are batting .205. The Twins in this period are hitting .274 and putting up six runs per game. Minnesota is 24-7 facing teams that have a .460-win percentage of lower with a +8.5 unit return. They are 23-16 at home. Detroit has lost -4.32 units as a road underdog this season. They are 6-17 facing a team with a .540 win percentage or greater this season with a -11.7 unit loss. Play Minnesota -120.
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Colorado Rockies MLB Betting Pick Prediction 7/3/2024
Brewers at Rockies—Colin Rea is the starter for Milwaukee. Rea has 16 starts in the season delivers an ERA of 3.61 with WHIP of 1.23. The righthander strikes out 16.8% with 7.6% walks. Ground balls dished at 41% with 1.34 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 4.80 does suggest a rise in ERA based on form. Dakota Hudson to start for Colorado. Hudson in 16 starts puts up an ERA of 5.84 with WHIP of 1.62. The righty is fanning 12% with 11.7% walks. Ground balls are 52.9% with 0.99 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
Milwaukee is 19-11 facing teams with a .460-win percentage of lower this season with a +4.97 unit return. Colorado is batting only .220 at home. The Brewers are batting .260 against right-handed batters putting up 5.2 runs per game. They are 37-25 facing teams allowing 4.2 runs per game or greater on the year with a +6.1-unit return. Colorado bullpen at home has an ERA of 5.90. Play Milwaukee -153.
Los Angeles Angels vs. Oakland Athletics MLB Betting Pick Prediction 7/3/2024
Angels at Athletics—Davis Daniel to start for Los Angeles. Daniel, in his MLB debut allowed no runs with 8 strikeouts and no walks in 8 innings at home to the Tigers. The righthander is a 7th round pick in 2019 that struggled in Triple A this year with an ERA of 5.33 and WHIP of 1.50 in 76 innings dealing 82 strikeouts. Joey Estes is the starter for Oakland. Estes has nine starts with an ERA of 5.24 and WHIP of 1.21. The righty is fanning 19.9% with 6.1% walks. Ground balls sit at 20.4% with 1.36 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
Oakland is batting .219 against right-handed starters and in their past ten games batting .211. The Angels in this period are putting up 4.6 runs per game. They are 12-9 facing teams with a .460- or lower-win percentage with a +4.21-unit return. Oakland is 12-21 as a road underdog with a -6.68-unit loss. They are 6-17 against the Division. Play Los Angeles -110.
Baltimore Orioles vs. Seattle Mariners MLB Betting Pick Prediction 7/3/2024
Orioles at Mariners—Dean Kremer to start for Baltimore. Kremer has nine starts on the year posting an ERA of 4.32 and WHIP of 1.12. The righthander strikes out 23.7% with 8.7% walks. Ground balls served at 40.7% with 1.80 home runs per nine innings. Logan Gilbert is the starter for Seattle. Gilbert in 17 starts has an ERA of 2.72 with WHIP of 0.88. The righthander fans 24% with 4.9% walks. Ground ball rate of 43.4% with 0.96 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
In their past ten games the Mariners are batting .199. Their bullpen has an ERA of 2.83 at home. Seattle is 28-13 to the under at home. Behind Gilbert the under is 12-5. The Mariners pitching is holding opponents to a .197 batting average and are striking out nearly 11 per nine innings. Play Baltimore and Seattle under 7.
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Los Angeles Dodgers MLB Betting Pick Prediction 7/3/2024
Diamondbacks at Dodgers—Jordan Montgomery will start for Arizona. Montgomery has 13 starts in 2024 delivering an ERA of 6.44 with WHIP of 1.68. The lefthander has seen his Ks fall to 15.1% with 7.7% walks. Ground balls dished at 43.6% with 1.10 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 4.42 does imply a drop in ERA should form hold. Gavin Stone to start for Los Angeles. Stone has 15 starts putting up an ERA of 2.73 with WHIP of 1.12. The righthander strikes out 19.5% with 7% walks. Ground balls dealt at 43.1% with 0.61 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
Arizona bullpen on the road has an ERA of 4.41. Los Angeles is hitting .271 against left handers putting up 4.9 runs per game against them. Arizona in their past ten games is batting .236. Montgomery and the Diamondbacks bullpen form the concern. Play Los Angles on run line -1.5 runs at +125.
