By Free MLB Picks For Today 7/4/2024
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New York Mets vs. Washington Nationals MLB Betting Pick Prediction 7/4/2024
Mets at Nationals—Jose Quintana to start for New York. Quintana has 16 starts in 2024 carrying an ERA of 4.57 with WHIP of 1.37. The lefthander strikes out 18.1% with 8.1% walks. Ground balls served at 44.5% with 1.42 home runs per nine innings. Jake Irvin will start for Washington. Irvin in 17 starts provides an ERA of 3.03 with WHIP of 1.06. The righthander fans 22.1% with 5.9% walks. Ground balls sit at 45.6% with 0.92 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
Washington bullpen at home has an ERA of 4.20. The Nationals are hitting .229 against left handers. In their past ten games the Mets are batting .277 and putting up 7.1 runs per game. They have won eight of ten against the Nationals. The team record behind Quintana is 9-7 with a +2.60-unit return. Play New York -118.
St Louis Cardinals vs. Pittsburgh Pirates MLB Betting Pick Prediction 7/4/2024
Cardinals at Pirates—Andre Pallante is the starter for St Louis. Pallante appeared in fifteen games on the year providing an ERA of 4.50 with WHIP of 1.58. The right-hander strikes out 18.3% with 10.7% walks. Ground balls come in at 60.2% with 0.71 home runs per nine innings. Martin Perez is the starter for Pittsburgh. Perez has 12 starts with an ERA of 5.28 with WHIP of 1.61. The lefthander fans 18.1% with 7.6% walks. Grounders are 41.3% with 1.47 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
St Louis is batting .213 against left handers. The Pirates are hitting .221 against right-handed starters. In their past ten games they are batting .207. The Cardinals 14-5 to the under facing teams that average 3.9 to 4.2 runs per game. Play Pittsburgh and St Louis under 9.
Cincinnati Reds vs. New York Yankees MLB Betting Pick Prediction 7/4/2024
Reds at Yankees—Frankie Montas will start for Cincinnati. Montas in 15 starts on the year puts up an ERA of 4.23 with WHIP of 1.31. The veteran strikes out 18.6% with 9.6% walks. Ground balls dished at 41.4% with 1.00 home runs per nine innings. Marcus Stroman is the starter for New York. Stroman has 17 starts with an ERA of 3.29 with WHIP of 1.29. The righthander fans 17.4% with 10.7% walks. Grounders served at 50% with 1.13 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 4.86 does suggest a rise in ERA based on form.
The Pick:
In their past ten games New York is batting .234. Their bullpen at home has an ERA of 3.79. They have lost 10 of their past 13 games. The Reds run differential on the road is +34. Their pitching staff holds opponents to .213 on the road. Play Cincinnati +159.
Houston Astros vs. Toronto Blue Jays MLB Betting Pick Prediction 7/4/2024
Astros at Blue Jays—Framber Valdez is the starter for Houston. Valdez has 14 starts on the year delivering an ERA of 4.11 with WHIP of 1.29. The lefthander is fanning 19.3% with 8.2% walks. Ground balls come in at 61.4% with 0.84 home runs per nine innings. Chris Bassitt will start for Toronto. Bassitt has 17 starts with an ERA of 3.24 and WHIP of 1.37. The veteran strikes out 21.8% with 8.9% walks. Ground balls dealt at 43.4% with 0.74 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
Houston is batting .260 against right-handed starters and putting up 4.8 runs per game. The Blue Jays are hitting .230 against right-handed starters. In their past ten games the Astros are batting .288 and putting up 7.1 runs per game. The Blue Jays have a bullpen ERA of 5.12 at home. Toronto is 9-26 as an underdog losing -14.89 units. The team record behind Bassitt is 7-10 with a -4.1-unit loss. Play Houston -115.
Chicago White Sox vs. Cleveland Guardians MLB Betting Pick Prediction 7/4/2024
White Sox at Guardians—Drew Thorpe is the starter for Chicago. Thorpe has four starts in 2024 providing an ERA of 4.43 with WHIP of 1.23. The rookie righthander fans 14.9% with 13.8% walks. Ground ball rate of 41.7% with 0.89 home runs per nine innings. Ben Lively will start for Cleveland. Lively in 13 starts has an ERA of 3.03 with WHIP of 1.16. The righty is striking out 21.3% with 7.3% walks. Ground balls come in at 36.8% with 1.26 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
Cleveland is hitting .236 against right-handed starters and the White Sox .216. Chicago is 22-10 to the under facing teams that allow 3.9 runs per game or fewer. The Guardians bullpen at home has an ERA of 2.20. Play Chicago and Cleveland under 8.5.
Boston Red Sox vs. Miami Marlins MLB Betting Pick Prediction 7/4/2024
Red Sox at Marlins—Nick Pivetta will start for Boston. Pivetta has 12 starts in the season, carries an ERA of 4.52 with WHIP of 1.22. The veteran fans 26.7% with 6.3% walks. Ground balls come in at 33.3% with 1.90 home runs per nine innings. Kyle Tyler is the starter for Miami. Tyler in three appearances has an ERA of 3.38 with WHIP of 1.22. The righthander is striking out 16.3% with 11.6% walks. Ground balls dished at 63.3% with 0.84 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 4.75 does suggest a rise in ERA based on his numbers.
The Pick:
Miami is batting .207 in their past ten games. The Red Sox bullpen has an ERA of 2.89 on the road. Miami is 29-16 to the run line at home. Their bullpen at home has an ERA of 4.40. Boston has pounded the Marlins in each game of this series. Play Boston on run line -1.5 runs at +105.
Detroit Tigers vs. Minnesota Twins MLB Betting Pick Prediction 7/4/2024
Tigers at Twins—Kenta Maeda is the starter for Detroit. Maeda has 14 starts in 2024 delivering an ERA of 5.76 with WHIP of 1.42. The veteran has seen his Ks drop to 17.7% with 7.5% walks. Ground balls dealt at 35.1% with 1.82 home runs per nine innings. Bailey Ober will start for Minnesota. Ober in 16 starts has an ERA of 4.30 with WHIP of 1.09. The righthander strikes out 26.1% with 6.5% walks. Ground balls come in at 32.2% with 1.43 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
Minnesota is batting .235 against right-handed starters. The Twins bullpen at home has an ERA of 3.34. Detroit in their past ten games is batting .202. Play Detroit and Minnesota under 8.5.
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Chicago Cubs MLB Betting Pick Prediction 7/4/2024
Phillies at Cubs—Cristopher Sanchez is the starting pitcher for Philadelphia. Sanchez has 16 starts posting an ERA of 2.41 with WHIP of 1.19. The lefthander strikes out 21% with 6.4% walks. Ground balls dished at 60.3% with minimal home run damage. Jameson Taillon will start for Chicago. Taillon in 13 starts has an ERA of 3.03 with WHIP of 1.24. The veteran fans 18.5% with 5.4% walks. Ground ball rate of 37.9% with 1.09 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
Philadelphia has won seven straight against Chicago. The Cubs are batting .229 against left-handed starters. In their past ten games they are hitting .212. Philadelphia is 48-23 as a favorite this season with a +4.3-unit return. Chicago is 19-11 when lined between -101 and +129 this season with a -6.47-unit loss. Play Philadelphia -132.
San Diego Padres vs. Texas Rangers MLB Betting Pick Prediction 7/4/2024
Padres at Rangers—Michael King is the starter for San Diego. King appeared in 18 games in 2024 dealing with an ERA of 3.61 with WHIP of 1.27. The righthander fans 27.2% with 9.2% walks. Ground balls dished at 38.8% with 1.26 home runs per nine innings. Max Scherzer to start for Texas. Scherzer in two starts allowed two earned runs with eight strikeouts in 10 1/3rd innings. In 2023 the veteran posted an ERA of 3.77 with WHIP of 1.12. He struck out 21.1% with 5.3% walks. Ground balls were 25% with 0.87 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
San Diego has won nine of ten against the Rangers. They are batting .271 against right handers this year putting up 5.3 runs per game. In their past ten games they are batting .277 and putting up 6.4 runs per game. The team record behind King this year is 10-7 with a +2.52-unit return. Texas is 21-19 at home with a -11.52-unit loss. The Padres run differential on the road is +35. Play San Diego +124.
Los Angeles Angels vs. Oakland Athletics MLB Betting Pick Prediction 7/4/2024
Angels at Athletics—Roansy Contreras will start for Los Angeles. Contreras in 22 appearances in the season produces an ERA of 3.82 with WHIP of 1.39. The righthander strikes out 21.8% with 10.6% walks. Ground balls served at 39.8% with 1.36 home runs per nine innings. JP Sears to start for Oakland. Sears has 17 starts with an ERA of 5.00 and WHIP of 1.31. The lefthander fans 16% with 7.5% walks. Ground balls come in at 36.6% with 1.30 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
Oakland is batting .219 against right-handed starters this year. In their past ten games they are hitting .207. The Athletics bullpen at home has an ERA of 3.50. The under is 11-6 behind Sears this year. Oakland is 12-9 to the under facing teams that have a .460- or lower-win percentage. Play Los Angeles and Oakland under 8.5.
Baltimore Orioles vs. Seattle Mariners MLB Betting Pick Prediction 7/4/2024
Orioles at Mariners—Corbin Burnes will start for Baltimore. Burnes has 17 starts in 2024 delivering an ERA of 2.28 with WHIP of 1.03. The veteran strikes out 23.4% with 5.7% walks. Ground balls come in at 49.5% with 0.93 home runs per nine innings. Bryce Miller will start for Seattle. Miller in 17 starts puts up an ERA of 3.88 with WHIP of 1.05. The righthander fans 23.6% with 7.3% walks. Ground balls dealt at 37.7% with 1.29 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
In their past ten games the Mariners are batting .215. Seattle is 28-13 to the under at home. They are hitting .208 at home and hold opponents at home to .198 hitting. Baltimore pitching is allowing .209 hitting on the road. Play Baltimore and Seattle under 7.
San Francisco Giants vs. Atlanta Braves MLB Betting Pick Prediction 7/4/2024
Giants at Braves—Logan Webb will start for San Francisco. Webb in 18 starts in 2024 deals with an ERA of 3.12 with WHIP of 1.22. The righthander strikes out 21.1% with 5.7% walks. Ground balls dished at 57.9% with limited home run damage. Charlie Morton to start for Atlanta. Morton has 15 starts with an ERA of 3.89 with WHIP of 1.25. The veteran fans 24.4% with 10.1% walks. Grounders are 45.5% with 0.74 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
Atlanta bullpen at home has an ERA of 2.98. In their past ten games the Braves are batting .214 with the Giants at .234. Atlanta is 25-14 to the under at home. Play San Francisco under 8.
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Kansas City Royals MLB Betting Pick Prediction 7/4/2024
Rays at Royals—Zach Eflin will start for Tampa Bay. Eflin in 15 starts on the campaign dealing an ERA of 3.92 with WHIP of 1.12. The veteran strikes out 19.1% with 1.9% walks. Grounders sit at 43.3% with 1.24 home runs per nine innings. Alec Marsh to start for KC. Marsh has 15 starts with an ERA of 4.19 with WHIP of 1.20. The righthander fans 21.9% with 7.4% walks. Grounders served at 35.6% with 1.10 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
The Royals have won five of seven. They are batting .267 at home and have a +54-run differential at home. KC is 30-17 at home with a +8.13-unit return. The team mark behind Marsh is 10-5 with a +5.89-unit return. Play Kansas City +118.
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Colorado Rockies MLB Betting Pick Prediction 7/4/2024
Brewers at Rockies—Tobias Myers to start for Milwaukee. Myers appeared in 12 games posting an ERA of 3.26 with WHIP of 1.16. The rookie righthander strikes out 21.7% with 7.7% walks. Ground balls sit at 36.9% with 1.40 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 4.45 does suggest a rise in ERA based on his numbers. Cal Quantrill will start in Colorado. Quantrill in 17 starts has an ERA of 3.78 with WHIP of 1.30. The righty is fanning 18% with 8.5% walks. Ground balls sit at 46.9% with 1.13 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
The Rockies bullpen at home has an ERA of 5.37. They are 17-25 at home. Milwaukee is 30-16 as a favorite on the season with a +4.99-unit return. Colorado is 9-16 when lined between +106 and +136 this season with a -5.08-unit loss. The Rockies have a -38-run differential at home. Play Milwaukee -139.
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Los Angeles Dodgers MLB Betting Pick Prediction 7/4/2024
Diamondbacks at Dodgers—Zac Gallen to start for Arizona. Gallen in 12 starts on the season dealing an ERA of 2.83 with WHIP of 1.07. The righthander strikes out 26.6% with 6.3% walks. Ground balls come in at 43.1% with 0.85 home runs per nine innings. Landon Knack will start for Los Angeles. Knack has six starts with an ERA of 2.08 with WHIP of 0.96. The rookie righty is fanning 20.7% with 6.6% walks. Ground balls served at 33.7% with 1.19 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 4.21 does suggest a rise in ERA based on his numbers.
The Pick:
The Diamondbacks bullpen on the road has an ERA of 4.56. They are batting .238 on the road. Arizona is 18-27 as an underdog with a -5.59-unit loss. LA is 11-4 when lined between -122 and -152 this year. Play Los Angeles -123.
