By Free MLB Picks For Today 7/9/2024
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Chicago Cubs vs. Baltimore Orioles MLB Pick Prediction 7/9/2024
Cubs at Orioles—Jameson Taillon will start for Chicago. Taillon in 14 starts in 2024 carries an ERA of 2.99 and WHIP of 1.18. The veteran fans 19.2% with 5% walks. Ground balls dealt at 36.8% with 0.92 home runs per nine innings. Dean Kremer is the starter for Baltimore. Kremer has 10 starts with an ERA of 3.93 and WHIP of 1.09. The righthander strikes out 25.2% with 8.8% walks. Grounders are 40.9% with 1.64 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
Chicago in their past ten games is batting .218. The Orioles in this period are hitting .261. The Cubs bullpen on the road has an ERA of 5.28. Baltimore has a run differential of +106 with the Cubs -24 on the road. Chicago is 13-23 as a road underdog with a -8-unit loss. The Orioles are 9-4 following an off day with a +2.57-unit return. Play Baltimore -153.
Cleveland Guardians vs. Detroit Tigers MLB Pick Prediction 7/9/2024
Guardians at Tigers—Ben Lively to start for Cleveland. Lively in 14 starts on the year provides an ERA of 3.14 with WHIP of 1.16. The righthander strikes out 21.5% with 7.1% walks. Ground balls dished at 39.7% with 1.28 home runs per nine innings. Kenta Maeda to start for Detroit. Maeda has 15 starts with an ERA of 6.71 and WHIP of 1.52. The veteran has seen his Ks plummet to 17.3% with 7.9% walks. Grounders are 36.6% with 1.86 home runs per nine innings, a career high.
The Pick:
Detroit is batting .226 against right-handed starters. The Guardians bullpen on the road has an ERA of 2.87. Their pitching staff holds opponents to .229 hitting on the road. Cleveland is 26-20 to the under on the road and 7-4 to the under behind Lively. Play Detroit and Chicago under 8.5.
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Philadelphia Phillies MLB Pick Prediction 7/9/2024
Dodgers at Phillies—Bobby Miller is the starter for Los Angeles. Miller has six starts in the year, puts up an ERA of 6.12 with WHIP of 1.60. The righthander fans 22.9% with 13.8% walks. Ground balls come in at 50.7% with 1.80 home runs per nine innings. Zack Wheeler to start for Philadelphia. Wheeler in 18 starts has an ERA of 2.74 with WHIP of 0.99. The veteran strikes out 26.7% with 7.4% walks. Grounders dealt at 42% with 0.81 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
Los Angeles has won seven of ten against the Phillies. Their bullpen on the road has an ERA of 2.51. Harper and Schwarber could return here but could be rusty after the long layoff. Realmuto is still out. The Dodgers are 27-17 on the road and 11-7 over all facing teams with a .540 or greater win percentage. The Phillies are 3-5 facing teams that allow 3.9 runs per game or fewer with a -1.46-unit loss. Play Los Angeles +125.
New York Yankees vs. Tampa Bay Rays MLB Pick Prediction 7/9/2024
Yankees at Rays—Carlos Rodon will start for New York. Rodon has 18 starts in the season producing an ERA of 4.45 with WHIP of 1.24. The lefthander fans 23.7% with 6.6% walks. Ground balls sit at 33.7% with 1.64 home runs per nine innings. Ryan Pepiot to start for Tampa Bay. Pepiot in 15 starts an ERA of 4.40 with WHIP of 1.12. The righthander has a K mark of 27% with 9.1% walks. Ground balls come in at 33.2% with 1.31 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
New York has lost 15 of 20. Tampa Bay is batting .258 against left-handed starters. In their past ten games the Yankees are hitting .238. Rays pitching holds opponents to .233 hitting on the road. Rodon has been hammered in his past four starts. Play Tampa Bay +110.
Oakland Athletics vs. Boston Red Sox MLB Pick Prediction 7/9/2024
Athletics at Red Sox—Joey Estes will start for Oakland. Estes in 10 starts in 2024 deals an ERA of 4.39 with WHIP of 1.12. The righthander is striking out 19% with 5.8% walks. Ground balls come in at 21% with 1.14 home runs per nine innings. Bryan Bello is the starter for Boston. Bello has 15 starts has an ERA of 5.19 with WHIP of 1.45. The righty is fanning 20.6% with 8.7% walks. Ground balls sit at 54% with 1.27 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
Boston in their past ten games is hitting .234. The Athletics has seen better run production of late. Their bullpen on the road has an ERA of 3.71. The Red Sox are 12-15 as the home favorite with a -6.29-unit loss. Oakland is 5-5 behind Estes with a +1.35-unit return. Play Oakland +170.
Colorado Rockies vs. Cincinnati Reds MLB Pick Prediction 7/9/2024
Rockies at Reds—Cal Quantrill will start for Colorado. Quantrill in 18 starts on the year carries an ERA of 3.77 with WHIP of 1.33. The righthander fans 17.5% with 9% walks. Ground balls dealt at 46.7% with 1.08 home runs per nine innings. Frankie Montas to start for Cincinnati. Montas has 16 starts with an ERA of 4.19 with WHIP of 1.32. The veteran strikes out 18.6% with 9.9% walks. Ground balls are 40.9% with 1.16 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
Cincinnati has now won seven straight against Colorado. In their past ten games the Rockies are hitting .211. Their bullpen on the road has an ERA of 6.01. The Reds pen at home has an ERA of 3.46. Rockies pitching is surrendering .286 hitting on the road. They have a -107 run differential on the road. Play Cincinnati on the run line -1.5 runs at +125.
Washington Nationals vs. New York Mets MLB Pick Prediction 7/9/2024
Nationals at Mets—Jake Irvin will start for Washington. Irvin in 18 starts on the campaign dealing an ERA of 2.80 with WHIP of 1.00. The righthander fans 22.7% with 5.8% walks. Ground balls sit at 44.3% with 0.85 home runs per nine innings. Jose Quintana is the starter for New York. Quintana has 17 starts has an ERA of 4.22 with WHIP of 1.34. The lefthander strikes out 17.1% with 8.3% walks. Grounders dealt at 44.4% with 1.30 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
New York is hitting .217 in their past ten games with the Nationals at .269 and putting up 4.7 runs per game. Washington is 18-22 on the road with a +5.18-unit return. New York is 13-15 as a home favorite losing -5.09 units. They have a -8-run differential at home. Play Washington +120.
Kansas City Royals vs. St Louis Cardinals MLB Pick Prediction 7/9/2024
Royals at Cardinals—Michael Wacha will start for Kansas City. Wacha has 15 starts in 2024 posting a ERA of 3.74 with WHIP of 1.22. The veteran strikes out 21.4% with 7.4% walks. Ground balls come in at 39.6% with 0.85 home runs per nine innings. Andre Pallante will start for St Louis. Pallante appeared in 16 games with an ERA of 4.00 and WHIP of 1.44. The righthander fans 18.7% with 9.8% walks. Ground balls sit at 61% with 0.80 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
KC is batting .220 on the road. Their bullpen on the road has an ERA of 4.15. St Louis is batting .249 against right handers. The Royals are 18-25 on the road with a -6.47-unit loss. The Cardinals are13-9 when lined between -136 and -106 with a +3.17 unit return. Play St Louis -120.
Minnesota Twins vs. Chicago White Sox MLB Pick Prediction 7/9/2024
Twins at White Sox—Bailey Ober is the starter for Minnesota. Ober in 17 starts on the year provides an ERA of 4.12 with WHIP of 1.10. The righthander has a K mark of 26.5% with 6.1% walks. Grounders sit at 32.3% with 1.44 home runs per nine innings. Erick Fedde to start for Chicago. Fedde has 18 starts with an ERA of 3.13 with WHIP of 1.13. The righty is fanning 21.5% with 6.4% walks. Ground balls dished at 47.3% with 0.93 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
The Twins have won nine of ten against the White Sox as this series opened. Chicago is hitting .219 against right-handed starters. In their past ten games the Twins are batting .307 and putting up 7.1 runs per game. The White Sox bullpen has an ERA of 4.00 at home. Minnesota is 26-8 facing teams with a .460- or lower-win percentage with a +8.84-unit return. Chicago is 9-32 facing teams with a .540 or higher win percentage with a -18.27-unit loss. Play Minnesota on the run line -1.5 runs at -105.
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Milwaukee Brewers MLB Pick Prediction 7/9/2024
Pirates at Brewers—Quinn Priester is the starter for Pittsburgh. Priester has six starts in 2024 produces an ERA of 4.83 with WHIP of 1.55. The righthander strikes out 13.8% with 6.9% walks. Ground balls dished at 60% with 1.99 home runs per nine innings. Colin Rea to start for Milwaukee. Rea in 17 appearances has an ERA of 3.34 and WHIP of 1.20. The righty is fanning 16.8% with 7.1% walks. Grounders are 42.1% with 1.24 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
Pittsburgh is batting .224 against right-handed starters. The Brewers bullpen at home has an ERA of 3.46. Brewer’s pitching allows .234 hitting at home. Pittsburgh is 23-20 to the under on the road. Play Pittsburgh and Milwaukee under 8.
Miami Marlins vs. Houston Astros MLB Pick Prediction 7/9/2024
Marlins at Astros—Trevor Rogers will start for Miami. Rogers has 17 starts in the season and deals with an ERA of 4.91 and WHIP of 1.60. The lefthander strikes out 18.2% with 10.1% walks. Grounders dished at 49.3% with 1.07 home runs per nine innings. Ronel Blanco is the starter for Houston. Blanco in 16 starts has an ERA of 2.53 with WHIP of 1.01. The righthander fans 23.1% with 10.2% walks. Ground balls sit at 39.4% with 1.22 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 4.34 does suggest a rise in ERA based on his numbers.
The Pick:
Miami is batting .222 on the road. The Marlins are 27-14 to the under on the road with a bullpen ERA of 3.57. Houston is 17-4 to the under facing teams that average 3.9 runs per game or fewer and 19-7 to the under against teams with a .460- or lower-win percentage. Play Miami and Houston under 8.
Texas Rangers vs. Los Angeles Angels MLB Pick Prediction 7/9/2024
Rangers at Angels—Max Scherzer is the starter for Texas. Scherzer in three starts on the campaign carries an ERA of 2.70 with WHIP of 0.84. The veteran has seen his Ks drop to 17.7% with 4.8% walks. Ground balls come in at 25% with 1.08 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 3.94 does imply a rise in ERA based on his numbers. Roansy Contreras to start for Los Angeles. Contreras appeared in 23 games with an ERA of 4.04 with WHIP of 1.46. The righthander fans 20.5% with 11.5% walks. Ground balls come in at 39.8% with 1.26 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
In their past ten games the Rangers are hitting .286. LA at home is hitting .226. Their bullpen has an ERA of 4.71 at home. The Angels are 18-26 to the run line at home. Play Texas on the run line -1.5 runs at -105.
Seattle Mariners vs. San Diego Padres MLB Pick Prediction 7/9/2024
Mariners at Padres—Logan Gilbert will start for Seattle. Gilbert has 18 starts on the year, dealing an ERA of 2.91 with WHIP of 0.92. The righthander strikes out 24% with 5.3% walks. Ground balls are 43.1% with 0.99 home runs per nine innings. Adam Mazur to start for San Diego. Mazur in six starts an ERA of 7.52 with WHIP of 1.82. The righthander is fanning 12.3% with 13.9% walks. Ground balls sit at 34.4% with 1.03 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
San Diego is batting .271 against right-handed starters and putting up 5.2 runs per game against them. The Mariners bat .217 against right-handed starters. Seattle has a bullpen ERA of 4.93 on the road where they sport a -25-run differential. They are 19-25 on the road with a -7.01-unit loss. The Padres are 20-19 as an underdog returning +5.37-unit return. Play San Diego +129.
Atlanta Braves vs. Arizona Diamondbacks MLB Pick Prediction 7/9/2024
Braves at Diamondbacks—Chris Sale to start for Atlanta. Sale in 16 starts on the year carries an ERA of 2.71 and WHIP of 0.91. The lefthander has an elite 32.7% strikeout rate with 4.9% walks. Ground balls served at 48.3% with 0.63 home runs per nine innings. Zac Gallen will start for Arizona. Gallen has 13 starts with an ERA of 3.06 with WHIP of 1.11. The righthander strikes out 26.2% with 7% walks. Ground balls come in at 43% with 0.80 home runs per nine innings.
The Pick:
Arizona is batting .277 against left-handed starters and putting up 5.9 runs per game against them. Atlanta in their past ten games is batting .227. The Braves are 20-22 on the road with a -7.69-unit loss. The Diamondbacks are 15-13 when lined between -103 and +127 with a +3.84-unit return. Play Arizona +117.
Toronto Blue Jays vs. San Francisco Giants MLB Pick Prediction 7/9/2024
Blue Jays at Giants—Yusei Kikuchi will start for Toronto. Kikuchi has 18 starts producing an ERA of 4.12 with WHIP of 1.31. The lefthander fans 24.6% with 5.8% walks. Ground balls are 41.8% with 1.24 home runs per nine innings. Blake Snell is the starter for San Francisco. Snell in six starts an ERA of 9.51 with WHIP of 1.94. The lefty is striking out 26.1% with 11.8% walks. Ground balls dished at 42.3% with 1.52 home runs per nine innings. A FIP of 4.64 does suggest a drop in ERA based on form.
The Pick:
San Francisco is batting .259 against left-handed starters. Toronto on the road is hitting .225 with a bullpen ERA of 4.77. The Blue Jays are 11-29 as an underdog with a -15.72 unit loss. They are also 4-22 when lined between -109 to +121 with a -17.65 unit loss. The team record behind Kikuchi is 5-13 with a -8.38 unit loss. San Francisco is 25-19 at home with a +2.49 unit return. Play San Francisco -122.
